PolyBot

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Traders

prognozu

0x8199d2d2813a60bc15580cc97f2e0e54c73abb6d

Realised P&L
$4.2k
Volume
$587.4k
Markets traded
441
Open portfolio
$485.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded441
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8300.645$129.00−$37.00
Ukraine lowers conscription age by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.945$64.67+$1.03
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.8000.815$40.75+$0.75
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? · No0.8830.969$38.34+$3.38
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.2400.190$38.00−$10.00
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.7000.735$36.73+$1.73
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.5800.345$34.50−$23.50
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.952$28.55+$0.34
Israeli Knesset election annulled? · No0.8500.966$19.32+$2.32
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.4200.265$13.25−$7.75
US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.115$11.50−$5.50
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.195$9.75+$2.25
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.2400.180$9.00−$3.00
Will 2 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.203$4.98+$3.50
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? · Yes0.2200.160$4.80−$1.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 20:27Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by October 31, 2026?SELL0.0434449388$0.78
10-02 14:38Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?BUY0.931$18.62
09-25 07:14Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?BUY0.27$8.10
09-10 08:33Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?SELL0.25$1.85
08-27 20:45Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 27?BUY0.92$27.60
08-25 13:51Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?SELL0.996$498.01
07-31 13:42Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?SELL0.06$11.75
07-29 00:57US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.986$6.01
06-27 21:25Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?SELL0.0303989242$1.36
06-20 04:07Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?BUY0.06$10.48
06-20 00:21Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?SELL0.7063451726$423.60
06-16 16:11Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?SELL0.958$506.71
06-15 22:49Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?BUY0.96$287.81
06-11 13:42Nothing Ever Happens: 2026SELL0.68$114.25
06-11 13:42Nothing Ever Happens: 2026SELL0.69$114.94