2kparabellum
0xa9d0a507904bc87a93f944544ac936238ce660ed
- Realised P&L
- $-305.75
- Volume
- $260.5k
- Markets traded
- 972
- Open portfolio
- $660.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded972
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.11at 0.257Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
- +$76.36at 0.627Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$59.16at 0.002Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$57.40at 0.100MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
- +$30.97at 0.010Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 10:16 | Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%? | SELL | 0.1283600144 | $10.70 |
| 07-15 18:19 | Will Cal Raleigh lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season? | SELL | 0.0116734914 | $1.30 |
| 07-13 18:49 | Will Deiveson Figueiredo become UFC champion in 2026? | SELL | 0.0564930292 | $0.89 |
| 07-12 19:37 | Will Germán Berterame win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.25 |
| 07-12 19:37 | Will Albert Rusnák win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.26 |
| 07-12 19:37 | Will Tadeo Allende win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? | SELL | 0.0191730639 | $1.41 |
| 07-12 19:37 | Will Tyreek Hill play for the Baltimore Ravens next? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.57 |
| 07-12 19:34 | Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.061 | $0.61 |
| 07-12 19:33 | Will Brandon Aiyuk play for Buffalo Bills in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.16 |
| 07-12 19:33 | Will Khamzat Chimaev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.0126843546 | $1.20 |
| 07-12 19:29 | Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2% and 3%? | SELL | 0.064970297 | $6.50 |
| 07-12 19:25 | Will Chris Oladokun start Week 1 for the Chiefs in 2026? | SELL | 0.026 | $0.89 |
| 07-12 19:24 | Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to at least 5 years in prison? | SELL | 0.044 | $0.44 |
| 07-12 19:22 | Will Nico Hoerner lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.32 |
| 07-12 18:46 | Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.06124 | $7.66 |