PolyBot

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Traders

0xcaf68c9953c4e92ea4bbb118f7e51271b0b25c89

0xcaf68c9953c4e92ea4bbb118f7e51271b0b25c89

Realised P&L
$-24.03
Volume
$53.3k
Markets traded
489
Open portfolio
$1.81

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded489
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration98.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? · Yes0.0010.003$0.30+$0.20
Will Alibaba be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? · Yes0.0010.003$0.30+$0.20
Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.0010.003$0.30+$0.20
Will Alexandre Pantoja be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? · Yes0.0010.002$0.16+$0.08
Will Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0010.002$0.15+$0.05
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%? · Yes0.0010.001$0.10+$0.00
Will Robert Whittaker be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.10+$0.00
Will Tom Aspinall be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? · Yes0.0010.002$0.06+$0.02
Will Tyler Glasnow win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? · Yes0.0010.001$0.06−$0.06
Will Nick Pivetta win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? · Yes0.0010.001$0.05−$0.05
Will Brandon Moreno be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0010.006$0.05+$0.04
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.05−$0.05
Will Renato Moicano be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.05−$0.05
Will Reinier de Ridder be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.05−$0.05
Will Mircea Geoană be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0010.001$0.02+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-21 04:04Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?SELL0.403$18.54
06-16 17:41Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?SELL0.004$0.40
06-15 01:47Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on June 14?SELL0.001$0.05
06-14 23:42Will Ethereum reach $1,900 June 8-14?SELL0.001$0.10
06-14 23:32Will LeBron James play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?SELL0.001$0.04
06-14 23:21Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June?SELL0.017$0.60
06-14 17:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 15?SELL0.001$0.10
06-14 12:45Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?SELL0.001$0.01
06-11 22:08Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?SELL0.0608320832$6.08
06-02 17:57Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.001$1.00
06-02 17:57Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.001$1.00
06-02 17:57Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.001$1.00
06-02 17:57Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.001$1.00
06-02 17:57Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.001$1.00
06-02 05:00Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.001$1.00