0xcaf68c9953c4e92ea4bbb118f7e51271b0b25c89
0xcaf68c9953c4e92ea4bbb118f7e51271b0b25c89
- Realised P&L
- $-24.03
- Volume
- $53.3k
- Markets traded
- 489
- Open portfolio
- $1.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded489
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.75at 0.001Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
- +$0.28at 0.001Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?
- +$0.00at 0.001Will Jason Miyares be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
- +$-0.00at 0.001Will Brett Howden win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?
- +$-0.01at 0.001Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 04:04 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.403 | $18.54 |
| 06-16 17:41 | Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.40 |
| 06-15 01:47 | Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on June 14? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 06-14 23:42 | Will Ethereum reach $1,900 June 8-14? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 06-14 23:32 | Will LeBron James play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 06-14 23:21 | Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June? | SELL | 0.017 | $0.60 |
| 06-14 17:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 15? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 06-14 12:45 | Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 06-11 22:08 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy? | SELL | 0.0608320832 | $6.08 |
| 06-02 17:57 | Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-02 17:57 | Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-02 17:57 | Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-02 17:57 | Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-02 17:57 | Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-02 05:00 | Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |