Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.47. up 0.13 over the period, from 0.35. Range 0.34 to 0.55. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.48	450	450
0.49	24	474
0.51	40	514
0.57	52	566
0.58	13	579
0.79	30	609
0.80	100	709
0.90	12	721
0.91	22	743
0.92	20	763
0.93	240	1,003
0.97	10	1,013

Spread0.01Mid0.47

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.47	710	710
0.46	300	1,010
0.45	115	1,125
0.32	20	1,145
0.31	5	1,150
0.20	21	1,171
0.03	11	1,182
0.02	27	1,209
0.01	45	1,254

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.53	710	710
0.54	300	1,010
0.55	115	1,125
0.68	20	1,145
0.69	5	1,150
0.80	21	1,171
0.97	11	1,182
0.98	27	1,209
0.99	45	1,254

Spread0.01Mid0.53

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.52	450	450
0.51	24	474
0.49	40	514
0.43	52	566
0.42	13	579
0.21	30	609
0.20	100	709
0.10	12	721
0.09	22	743
0.08	20	763
0.07	240	1,003
0.03	10	1,013

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x4025c911Cf213D04ff2d409BAEe57D1b270c3644-1781053677729	Yes	341.7
dpnd	Yes	309.71
0xe172412ca65dD142Ff035630cc2945ADeC8D248A-1764747516771	Yes	283.53
haouibao	Yes	20
ZhouCD	Yes	20
0xa531…70e7	Yes	14.55
aaab341	Yes	10
Respire	Yes	9.53
Fleurs	Yes	7.69
rocky42025	Yes	7.33
asdfsadfddd	Yes	5.63
0xd0d9…30f2	Yes	5
yo2000	Yes	3.03
palochka	Yes	2.94
WeRDoomed	Yes	2.33
0x40C73F1916fbd495f8117Dc5755561aD778CB1E8-1782111633519	Yes	1.26
ms1910	No	221.52
AJSV	No	220.41
0xa5ef…2966	No	204.21
cigarettes	No	107.88

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
04:57:48	BUY	Yes	0.4399998929	3	$1.15
04:57:48	BUY	Yes	0.4211504425	23	$9.52
04:57:32	SELL	No	0.58	23	$13.11
12:00:43	BUY	Yes	0.4299998882	2	$1.00
18:11:30	SELL	No	0.6	1	$0.67
18:11:12	BUY	Yes	0.3599999971	111	$40.00
18:11:12	BUY	Yes	0.4	19	$7.55
18:11:12	BUY	Yes	0.36956	20	$7.39
18:11:12	BUY	Yes	0.371824	25	$9.30
10:27:56	BUY	Yes	0.3599999858	11	$4.07
10:27:56	BUY	Yes	0.3599999858	11	$4.07
00:36:59	BUY	Yes	0.37	20	$7.40
14:46:22	BUY	No	0.6	64	$38.40
11:15:11	BUY	No	0.56	20	$11.20
09:56:57	SELL	Yes	0.44	20	$8.80
03:40:48	BUY	No	0.5412727273	22	$11.91
03:40:17	SELL	Yes	0.45	18	$8.10
03:40:17	BUY	No	0.54	100	$54.00
03:40:17	BUY	No	0.55	20	$11.00
03:40:15	BUY	No	0.55	17	$9.16
03:40:15	BUY	No	0.54	20	$10.80
00:35:56	BUY	No	0.5699999947	11	$6.42
00:35:56	BUY	No	0.5699999947	6	$3.21
00:22:56	SELL	No	0.57	3	$1.54
00:19:11	SELL	No	0.5775700935	5	$3.09