rocky42025
0x8929a63143fba9416c8e0d3c96388b429c47733e
- Realised P&L
- $2.3k
- Volume
- $7.16M
- Markets traded
- 4,863
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,863
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.230Clippers vs. Rockets
- +$1.3kat 0.277Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-03-08?
- +$1.1kat 0.279Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
- +$1.1kat 0.132Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-03-18?
- +$1.0kat 0.171Manchester United WFC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 11:26 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.59 | $10.62 |
| 08-01 18:26 | Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | SELL | 0.57 | $38.20 |
| 08-01 10:23 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.57 | $12.86 |
| 08-01 10:00 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.25 |
| 08-01 06:13 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $69.75 |
| 08-01 06:02 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $56.98 |
| 07-31 10:07 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.31 | $3.10 |
| 07-30 11:28 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 07-30 08:39 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on July 30? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.38 |
| 07-30 03:39 | Los Cabos Open: Bernard Tomic vs Karen Khachanov | SELL | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 07-29 20:35 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.32 | $29.76 |
| 07-29 19:42 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.45 |
| 07-29 16:34 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5 | SELL | 0.69 | $82.11 |
| 07-29 16:24 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5 | SELL | 0.63 | $23.31 |
| 07-29 16:18 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.40 |