PolyBot

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Traders

Fleurs

0x0ab268014bf8b5e8350aa7693c9ec19c82e1492f

Realised P&L
$23.36
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
100
Open portfolio
$40.23

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded100
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample37 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30? · Yes0.5000.915$3.66+$1.66
Will the Green Party candidate win less than 20% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? · No0.7500.845$3.38+$0.38
Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in October 2026? · Yes0.1800.435$2.42+$1.42
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4? · Yes0.3500.405$2.31+$0.31
Will SER have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election? · Yes0.6400.695$2.17+$0.17
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8700.865$1.99−$0.01
Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%? · No0.6970.659$1.89−$0.11
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? · No0.9000.705$1.57−$0.43
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.5100.795$1.56+$0.56
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · Yes0.5000.764$1.53+$0.53
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? · No0.6600.952$1.44+$0.44
Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 15% or more? · Yes0.2300.330$1.43+$0.43
Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? · Yes0.6500.755$1.16+$0.16
Will Union Centriste hold 59-61 French Senate seats after the 2026 election? · Yes0.3600.195$1.08−$0.92
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4? · Yes0.3500.370$1.06+$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 14:48Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?SELL0.1959959596$1.94
10-02 14:48Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?BUY0.3049999558$1.00
10-02 14:47Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
10-02 14:47Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?BUY0.3049999558$1.00
10-02 14:47Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?BUY0.4$1.00
10-02 14:46Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?BUY0.649999805$1.00
10-02 14:46Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?BUY0.675999973$1.00
10-02 14:45Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?BUY0.1109999878$1.00
10-02 14:45Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?BUY0.29999994$1.00
10-02 14:44Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?BUY0.9759999922$1.00
10-02 14:44Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?BUY0.3039999708$1.00
10-02 14:43Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between -0.3% and -0.1%?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
10-02 14:43Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?BUY0.2989999647$1.00
10-01 11:05Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
10-01 11:04Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?BUY0.2939999606$1.00