PolyBot

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Traders

0xa531e99924354e2acee8a1e79d1062c55fd570e7

0xa531e99924354e2acee8a1e79d1062c55fd570e7

Realised P&L
$98.15
Volume
$597.30
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$196.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar16.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30? · Down0.0431.000$111.63+$106.83
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.1150.709$11.22+$9.40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.5800.665$10.92+$1.40
Will Taylor Brown win Big Brother season 28? · Yes0.1420.153$10.26+$0.74
Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on October 2, 2026? · Yes0.2700.410$7.29+$2.49
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? · Yes0.6701.000$7.10+$2.34
Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026? · Yes0.7601.000$6.32+$1.52
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026? · No0.9100.992$5.45+$0.45
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be between 1 and 3 hours? · Yes0.9400.996$5.08+$0.28
Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.4000.400$4.71+$0.00
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.4030.363$4.33−$0.47
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4100.365$4.27−$0.53
Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.0 and 37.4 on October 2, 2026? · No0.4500.555$2.24+$0.42
Will Philadelphia Phillies advance to the NLDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs? · No0.7300.500$1.89−$0.87
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on September 30, 2026? · Yes0.9700.955$1.89−$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 19:30Will Ethereum dip to $2,650 on September 30?BUY0.3599999756$1.77
09-30 19:28S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30?BUY0.043$4.80
09-30 18:57Lula participates in debate before first round?BUY0.0393846154$1.92
09-30 18:55Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4$4.71
09-30 18:01Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.64$4.76
09-30 17:31Will "Patient Zero" hit 43m first week streams?BUY0.088999996$1.80
09-30 17:30Will Taylor Brown win Big Brother season 28?BUY0.1149999982$4.76
09-30 16:41Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 3?BUY0.0309999996$1.77
09-30 16:41Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?BUY0.0749999996$4.67
09-30 16:25Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on September 30, 2026?BUY0.9699997272$1.92
09-30 16:08Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be between 1 and 3 hours?BUY0.9399999961$4.80
09-30 15:36Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.1149999997$1.82
09-30 15:30Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?BUY0.759999981$4.80
09-30 14:32Will Philadelphia Phillies advance to the NLDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?BUY0.7299999841$2.76
09-30 14:31Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta BravesBUY0.4899999498$3.81