Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-10-01

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.004. down 0.001 over the period, from 0.004. Range 0.004 to 0.006. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.004	9,635	9,635
0.005	190	9,825
0.006	377	10,202
0.007	1,210	11,412
0.008	4,052	15,464
0.009	2,667	18,131
0.010	1,984	20,116
0.015	115	20,231
0.017	500	20,731
0.019	100	20,831
0.021	10	20,841
0.038	300	21,141

Spread0.001Mid0.004

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.003	26,218	26,218
0.002	32,035	58,253
0.001	135,171	193,424

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.997	26,218	26,218
0.998	32,035	58,253
0.999	135,171	193,424

Spread0.001Mid0.996

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.996	9,635	9,635
0.995	190	9,825
0.994	377	10,202
0.993	1,210	11,412
0.992	4,052	15,464
0.991	2,667	18,131
0.990	1,984	20,116
0.985	115	20,231
0.983	500	20,731
0.981	100	20,831
0.979	10	20,841
0.962	300	21,141

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794	Yes	90,703.24
0xf75655c8A40c3C376aDCad34429dd0AB2432C664-1766977593909	Yes	43,591.46
TheLakeside	Yes	40,999.89
KKCY3218	Yes	35,762.45
topsecret17	Yes	18,914.79
Crypto4thewin	Yes	17,408.02
0xd0981aa38AB7Af988109f514767E5EB16bC8bE8f-1769646675089	Yes	16,232.52
0x629B04ca1af2D096aD30738F12003EddF0281fE9-1783345538178	Yes	11,111.11
basedkz	Yes	6,319.99
Wojtek	Yes	4,600
Pivko	Yes	4,406.94
fiter	Yes	3,600
BabyGroot	Yes	3,099.95
0x3ef9B514f2c07881f8C69910512b0438B6Ee4479-1773855473998	Yes	2,892.58
planktonXD	Yes	2,855.54
Ganngann	Yes	2,299.95
alkud	Yes	2,107.76
0x6fb0…4a04	Yes	1,873.03
0x896aB2caC03711c0648173C34F1f5dffe82bf878-1772300855934	Yes	1,540
bloodstainedcactus	Yes	1,400.6

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
14:38:18	BUY	No	0.9969999994	1,158	$1155.00
14:12:27	BUY	No	0.9969999959	64	$64.00
14:03:18	BUY	No	0.997	35	$34.90
14:00:33	BUY	No	0.9969999896	80	$80.00
13:56:14	BUY	No	0.997	67	$66.80
13:46:35	BUY	No	0.997	56	$55.83
13:30:57	BUY	No	0.997	21	$20.94
13:01:57	BUY	No	0.9969999971	100	$100.00
13:00:57	BUY	No	0.997	40	$39.88
12:49:51	BUY	No	0.997	82	$81.75
12:16:02	BUY	No	0.997	52	$51.84
11:07:09	BUY	No	0.996	1,275	$1269.78
09:26:10	SELL	Yes	0.004	264	$1.06
08:47:06	BUY	Yes	0.005	264	$1.32
07:42:51	SELL	Yes	0.004	181	$0.72
07:40:18	SELL	Yes	0.004	315	$1.26
07:26:40	BUY	No	0.9959999929	15	$14.56
07:19:45	BUY	No	0.9959999767	11	$10.94
07:12:07	BUY	Yes	0.005	200	$1.00
07:11:13	SELL	Yes	0.004	730	$2.92
07:10:40	BUY	Yes	0.005	496	$2.48
07:00:04	BUY	Yes	0.005	730	$3.65
06:57:13	BUY	No	0.9959999621	11	$10.93
06:26:30	BUY	No	0.9959999357	12	$11.78
05:46:43	BUY	No	0.9959999709	14	$13.67