0x629B04ca1af2D096aD30738F12003EddF0281fE9-1783345538178
0x629b04ca1af2d096ad30738f12003eddf0281fe9
- Realised P&L
- $10.19
- Volume
- $18.7k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $273.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.038 | $101.32 | +$1.32 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.115 | $95.83 | −$4.17 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.004 | $38.89 | −$61.11 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.065 | $37.46 | −$2.54 |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$214.46at 0.193Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 15:49 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.0694126804 | $40.00 |
| 08-31 15:48 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $100.00 |
| 08-31 15:48 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $10.10 |
| 08-31 15:48 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $89.90 |
| 08-31 15:47 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0379999996 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 23:20 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $265.68 |
| 07-07 16:56 | Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.008 | $2.00 |
| 07-07 16:56 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0129999958 | $3.00 |
| 07-07 16:56 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0229999962 | $6.00 |
| 07-07 16:55 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0279999967 | $8.00 |
| 07-07 16:55 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0738154582 | $20.00 |
| 07-07 16:55 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1879999975 | $50.00 |
| 07-06 13:52 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0569999995 | $100.00 |