PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

KKCY3218

0x16835c5fd47e83ef4e15d69dbbbb57814cf03348

Realised P&L
$-340.95
Volume
$77.0k
Markets traded
138
Open portfolio
$257.30

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded138
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0140.004$125.17$384.73
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? · Yes0.0650.040$60.89$39.10
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0480.041$17.68$3.32
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? · No0.0700.053$15.28$4.72
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? · Yes0.3340.075$10.35$35.70
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1200.115$9.58$0.42
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.0900.065$5.06$1.94
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? · No0.1100.055$5.00$5.00
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · No0.0400.024$2.94$2.06
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.1690.018$2.40$19.60
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes0.1800.065$2.17$3.83
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1000.040$0.79$1.21
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$1.00
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$1.00
Will Saudi Arabia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$0.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 05:27Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.119999999$10.00
09-15 05:26Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.04$10.00
09-15 05:23Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?BUY0.1099999999$10.00
09-15 05:22Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?BUY0.0700365767$20.00
09-15 05:20Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0055293296$10.00
08-20 15:55Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.1$5.00
08-20 15:54Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?BUY0.04$5.00
08-20 15:51Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0417028418$79.98
08-20 15:51Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0181314797$117.22
08-20 15:51Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0159749415$63.10
08-20 15:51Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0142857358$89.05
08-20 15:51Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0097905977$150.66
08-20 15:51Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?BUY0.0648658316$100.00
07-19 13:39Will the exact score of the penalty shootout in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?BUY0.0189999817$1.00
07-19 13:39Will the exact score of the penalty shootout in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.0139999861$1.00