KKCY3218
0x16835c5fd47e83ef4e15d69dbbbb57814cf03348
- Realised P&L
- $-340.95
- Volume
- $77.0k
- Markets traded
- 138
- Open portfolio
- $257.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded138
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$172.31at 0.072Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
- +$70.46at 0.066Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$53.34at 0.176GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
- +$35.56at 0.360Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?
- +$27.71at 0.192Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 05:27 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 05:26 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 05:23 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 05:22 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | BUY | 0.0700365767 | $20.00 |
| 09-15 05:20 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0055293296 | $10.00 |
| 08-20 15:55 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 08-20 15:54 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |
| 08-20 15:51 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0417028418 | $79.98 |
| 08-20 15:51 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0181314797 | $117.22 |
| 08-20 15:51 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0159749415 | $63.10 |
| 08-20 15:51 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0142857358 | $89.05 |
| 08-20 15:51 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0097905977 | $150.66 |
| 08-20 15:51 | Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | BUY | 0.0648658316 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 13:39 | Will the exact score of the penalty shootout in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be Spain 0 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0189999817 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 13:39 | Will the exact score of the penalty shootout in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be Spain 0 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0139999861 | $1.00 |