PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Crypto4thewin

0x527b46e252981a9269d34dac7c5268053929eb08

Realised P&L
$-2.1k
Volume
$289.0k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$10.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration87.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.0840.077$4.0k$333.04
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1230.135$3.2k+$276.25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0670.040$2.4k$1.6k
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1300.095$275.71$101.58
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0350.013$226.30$379.08
US government shutdown by October 1? · No0.1620.000$0.00$50.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? · No0.0140.000$0.00$189.00
Will FC Kairat Almaty vs. Real Madrid end in a draw? · Yes0.1270.000$0.00$50.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$409.79
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$100.00
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0770.000$0.00$1.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-31 20:20Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?SELL0.0231601192$325.51
05-31 20:20Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?SELL0.0103710307$55.90
05-31 20:19Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?SELL0.036$1.08
05-31 20:19Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?SELL0.0356179604$17.72
05-31 20:18China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.1137700341$1000.00
05-31 20:11Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1624463735$1000.00
05-31 20:10Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.06668455$1.1k
05-31 20:10Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.067$1.4k
05-31 20:00Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.0659999999$500.00
05-31 19:58China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.0944525774$164.01
05-31 12:44Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.0659999999$1000.00
05-31 12:41Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0408719836$538.15
05-31 12:41Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0314631412$761.85
05-31 12:39Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?BUY0.13$377.28
05-30 19:38China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.0901160294$308.96