PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x3ef9B514f2c07881f8C69910512b0438B6Ee4479-1773855473998

0x3ef9b514f2c07881f8c69910512b0438b6ee4479

Realised P&L
$-545.80
Volume
$42.8k
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$57.49

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1000.013$37.60$251.65
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1500.076$19.89$19.11
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$49.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-22 13:32Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?BUY0.004$72.04
03-18 22:21Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 18?BUY0.054$5.39
03-18 19:22Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?BUY0.009$4.13
03-18 19:21Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?BUY0.008$4.40
03-18 19:00China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.15$39.00
03-18 18:46Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1$289.26
03-18 18:39Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?BUY0.04$4.72
03-18 18:33Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?BUY0.009$13.19
03-18 18:32Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?BUY0.04$44.84
03-18 18:32Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?BUY0.008$17.35