0x3ef9B514f2c07881f8C69910512b0438B6Ee4479-1773855473998
0x3ef9b514f2c07881f8c69910512b0438b6ee4479
- Realised P&L
- $-545.80
- Volume
- $42.8k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $57.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.013 | $37.60 | −$251.65 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.076 | $19.89 | −$19.11 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-5.40at 0.054Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 18?
- +$-220.08at 0.006Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-22 13:32 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $72.04 |
| 03-18 22:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 18? | BUY | 0.054 | $5.39 |
| 03-18 19:22 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $4.13 |
| 03-18 19:21 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $4.40 |
| 03-18 19:00 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.15 | $39.00 |
| 03-18 18:46 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $289.26 |
| 03-18 18:39 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $4.72 |
| 03-18 18:33 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $13.19 |
| 03-18 18:32 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $44.84 |
| 03-18 18:32 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $17.35 |