PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

TheLakeside

0xbc819cd2dd2f649aedbb6bddc1d58c706c3b4fad

Realised P&L
$343.67
Volume
$30.0k
Markets traded
3
Open portfolio
$2.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded3
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration77.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1070.135$1.7k+$340.19
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0380.040$395.01+$15.00
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0150.013$98.48$11.52

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-23 17:01Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0145212712$110.00
07-20 13:15Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1$370.26
07-20 13:00Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1$250.00
07-20 12:29Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1$80.00
07-20 12:26Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1$10.00