TheLakeside
0xbc819cd2dd2f649aedbb6bddc1d58c706c3b4fad
- Realised P&L
- $343.67
- Volume
- $30.0k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration77.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.107 | 0.135 | $1.7k | +$340.19 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.040 | $395.01 | +$15.00 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.013 | $98.48 | −$11.52 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 17:01 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0145212712 | $110.00 |
| 07-20 13:15 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $370.26 |
| 07-20 13:00 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $250.00 |
| 07-20 12:29 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $80.00 |
| 07-20 12:26 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |