Ganngann
0x0aa82dac16df3f60573a876de3d65aa259a1fbea
- Realised P&L
- $-92.39
- Volume
- $137.3k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $527.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.967 | $463.92 | +$223.92 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.950 | $39.56 | −$0.44 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No | 0.500 | 0.034 | $16.08 | −$223.92 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.004 | $8.05 | −$1.1k |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be 45.0–45.4% on July 4? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Will Trump endorse Eric Adams? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.500Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 5?
- +$1.2kat 0.500Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 13?
- +$1.1kat 0.500Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$1.1kat 0.500Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- +$851.72at 0.538Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 08:59 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.02 | $48.00 |
| 09-15 08:59 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.979 | $2.3k |
| 09-13 10:27 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.9801852565 | $1.9k |
| 09-06 11:15 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9869999991 | $150.00 |
| 09-06 11:14 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $40.00 |
| 05-18 13:42 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.948 | $308.10 |
| 05-16 21:12 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999075 | $7.00 |
| 04-07 16:45 | Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.011 | $4.40 |
| 04-07 16:45 | Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.987 | $394.80 |
| 10-05 12:55 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.2599999848 | $12.00 |
| 06-28 16:38 | Will Zohran Mamdani be deported before November? | BUY | 0.96 | $6.00 |
| 06-28 16:38 | Will Trump endorse Eric Adams? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 06-28 16:38 | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 06-28 16:38 | Will Trump’s approval rating be 45.0–45.4% on July 4? | BUY | 0.25 | $4.00 |
| 03-05 07:59 | Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 President’s Trophy? | BUY | 0.4975124378 | $12.00 |