PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xf75655c8A40c3C376aDCad34429dd0AB2432C664-1766977593909

0x16e2416782acbfdbcfd87d62fc2e8ce5ca3d5f01

Realised P&L
$-2.4k
Volume
$278.5k
Markets traded
3
Open portfolio
$566.69

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded3
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0500.013$566.69$1.6k
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$578.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-22 14:43Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?BUY0.005$80.00
06-22 14:37Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?BUY0.0041103376$100.00
06-22 14:35Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0360205109$531.26
06-22 14:35Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0697226374$1.3k
06-22 14:33Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?BUY0.004$80.00
06-22 14:32Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.025$11.03
06-22 14:31Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?SELL0.003$212.93
06-16 15:29Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0407214466$150.00
06-16 15:29Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0069997665$150.00
06-16 15:26Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?BUY0.007058395$150.00
06-16 15:25Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0328978027$100.00
06-16 15:25Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0048722409$150.00
06-04 09:16Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.032$30.00
06-04 09:16Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?BUY0.0149999999$100.00
06-04 09:15Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?BUY0.009$55.76