0xf75655c8A40c3C376aDCad34429dd0AB2432C664-1766977593909
0x16e2416782acbfdbcfd87d62fc2e8ce5ca3d5f01
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $278.5k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $566.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.013 | $566.69 | −$1.6k |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$578.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-262.96at 0.007Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 14:43 | Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | BUY | 0.005 | $80.00 |
| 06-22 14:37 | Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | BUY | 0.0041103376 | $100.00 |
| 06-22 14:35 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0360205109 | $531.26 |
| 06-22 14:35 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0697226374 | $1.3k |
| 06-22 14:33 | Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | BUY | 0.004 | $80.00 |
| 06-22 14:32 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.025 | $11.03 |
| 06-22 14:31 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $212.93 |
| 06-16 15:29 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0407214466 | $150.00 |
| 06-16 15:29 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0069997665 | $150.00 |
| 06-16 15:26 | Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | BUY | 0.007058395 | $150.00 |
| 06-16 15:25 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0328978027 | $100.00 |
| 06-16 15:25 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0048722409 | $150.00 |
| 06-04 09:16 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.032 | $30.00 |
| 06-04 09:16 | Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | BUY | 0.0149999999 | $100.00 |
| 06-04 09:15 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $55.76 |