topsecret17
0x2f33da3c370fa8634220297840316efd90650479
- Realised P&L
- $-25.6k
- Volume
- $1.40M
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $3.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.624Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?
- +$663.00at 0.610Will Trump say "Korea" 10+ times during events with South Korean president on August 25?
- +$510.45at 0.628Will Trump say "Putin" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?
- +$467.37at 0.487Will Trump say "Ceasefire" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?
- +$449.93at 0.550Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 08:24 | Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.025 | $7.96 |
| 09-16 03:18 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.0439826465 | $237.58 |
| 08-08 02:23 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.2k |
| 08-07 11:17 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $536.46 |
| 08-05 10:08 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $104.00 |
| 07-31 19:00 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.013 | $382.37 |
| 07-31 19:00 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.014 | $26.90 |
| 07-28 18:15 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $191.61 |
| 07-28 18:14 | Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | SELL | 0.076 | $196.08 |
| 07-15 15:12 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $291.59 |
| 06-22 11:30 | Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $30.30 |
| 06-16 06:56 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.006 | $31.02 |
| 06-09 14:30 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | SELL | 0.08 | $160.00 |
| 06-09 14:30 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | SELL | 0.09 | $24.20 |
| 06-09 13:14 | Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $6.02 |