PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

topsecret17

0x2f33da3c370fa8634220297840316efd90650479

Realised P&L
$-24.3k
Volume
$1.27M
Markets traded
83
Open portfolio
$2.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded83
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration67.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.3830.265$1.2k$533.24
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · No0.0940.065$571.20$255.99
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0310.013$245.89$339.24
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? · Yes0.0720.035$187.41$200.28
Fed rate cut by September meeting? · No0.1690.000$0.00$538.62
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00$11.8k
Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026? · No0.1840.000$0.00$2.9k
Bolsonaro guilty? · No0.1140.000$0.00$1.6k
Fed rate cut by October meeting? · No0.0700.000$0.00$7.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? · No0.0060.000$0.00$31.02
Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender? · No0.0290.000$0.00$80.38
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$622.60
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$334.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 19:00Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?SELL0.013$382.37
07-31 19:00Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?SELL0.014$26.90
07-28 18:15Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.35$191.61
07-28 18:14Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?SELL0.076$196.08
07-15 15:12Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.38$291.59
06-22 11:30Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?BUY0.06$30.30
06-16 06:56Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.006$31.02
06-09 14:30Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?SELL0.08$160.00
06-09 14:30Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?SELL0.09$24.20
06-09 13:14Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026?BUY0.19$6.02
06-09 13:11Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.43864453$926.56
06-09 13:11Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.46$230.31
06-09 12:59Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?SELL0.08$212.48
06-09 12:59Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?SELL0.09$240.03
06-09 12:59Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?SELL0.1$5.69