Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-06-30
Rewards: 0 min size · 0¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.10. Unchanged over the period, from 0.10. Range 0.10 to 0.11. 166 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.10	7,366	7,366
0.11	5,511	12,877
0.12	2,264	15,141
0.13	4,222	19,364
0.14	2,596	21,960
0.15	2,582	24,542
0.16	1,064	25,606
0.17	2,088	27,694
0.18	2,223	29,917
0.19	1,503	31,421
0.20	3,973	35,394
0.21	1,550	36,943

Spread0.01Mid0.10

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.09	672	672
0.08	3,059	3,731
0.07	4,304	8,035
0.06	659	8,694
0.05	3,473	12,167
0.04	3,617	15,784
0.03	15,269	31,053
0.02	29,952	61,005
0.01	541,089	602,095

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.91	672	672
0.92	3,059	3,731
0.93	4,304	8,035
0.94	659	8,694
0.95	3,473	12,167
0.96	3,617	15,784
0.97	15,269	31,053
0.98	29,952	61,005
0.99	541,089	602,095

Spread0.01Mid0.91

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.90	7,366	7,366
0.89	5,511	12,877
0.88	2,264	15,141
0.87	4,222	19,364
0.86	2,596	21,960
0.85	2,582	24,542
0.84	1,064	25,606
0.83	2,088	27,694
0.82	2,223	29,917
0.81	1,503	31,421
0.80	3,973	35,394
0.79	1,550	36,943

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x1e77401bB590f95C1202e4FC65D4028c09C5C65f-1761894302097	Yes	35,101.99
BlackswanDefi	Yes	24,066.44
0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794	Yes	19,982.28
comon119	Yes	11,979.16
BarryandLarrytradiing	Yes	10,442.67
Jbetour	Yes	8,781.79
tiger555	Yes	6,273.59
Crypto4thewin	Yes	2,902.17
Pivko	Yes	2,519.99
0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA9604	Yes	2,000
0x2814D522137052b40427447288BcD67fB6375596-1774971492367	Yes	1,667.9
MeiZzzi	Yes	1,500
guozili	Yes	1,283
0x60A50C7A7AbBB87c2Ef79C1488320Ca51a1dF52E-1772459474340	Yes	909.09
0x702d…00cf	Yes	769.23
rajugg	Yes	769.23
slavicrunes	Yes	769.23
RRR27	Yes	700
0xa1E4Ee594eB67B53df404E535927ee66237Fbd8F-1774847623083	Yes	680.13
0x5d25…b703	Yes	555.56

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
17:51:00	SELL	Yes	0.09	100	$9.00
11:44:29	BUY	No	0.9099999909	22	$20.00
16:02:26	SELL	Yes	0.09	7	$0.62
14:19:47	BUY	No	0.91	814	$740.74
07:28:50	BUY	No	0.9099999936	33	$30.00
06:48:33	BUY	Yes	0.1	1,283	$128.30
06:04:38	BUY	No	0.91	1	$1.00
06:04:18	BUY	No	0.91	1	$1.00
06:04:08	BUY	No	0.91	1	$1.00
10:18:53	BUY	No	0.9099998835	5	$5.00
07:53:50	BUY	No	0.9099998267	2	$1.68
06:37:57	BUY	Yes	0.1	200	$20.00
06:37:51	BUY	Yes	0.1	500	$50.00
02:47:26	BUY	No	0.91	2,198	$2000.00
01:49:44	SELL	No	0.9	122	$109.43
22:44:51	BUY	No	0.91	71	$64.29
16:33:05	BUY	No	0.91	110	$100.10
14:56:48	SELL	No	0.9	137	$123.16
14:56:20	SELL	No	0.9	150	$134.89
14:52:09	SELL	No	0.9	233	$209.36
14:51:57	SELL	No	0.9	190	$171.00
14:51:57	SELL	No	0.9	95	$85.50
14:51:47	SELL	No	0.9	91	$81.65
14:43:36	BUY	Yes	0.1	500	$50.00
14:41:57	BUY	No	0.9	1,788	$1609.23