Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-07-01
Rewards: 0 min size · 0¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.08. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.07. Range 0.07 to 0.09. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.09	29,104	29,104
0.10	11,077	40,181
0.11	2,486	42,667
0.12	300	42,967
0.13	2,570	45,537
0.14	1,094	46,632
0.15	707	47,339
0.16	579	47,918
0.17	108	48,025
0.18	100	48,125
0.19	233	48,359
0.20	135	48,494

Spread0.02Mid0.08

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.07	2,947	2,947
0.06	2,588	5,535
0.05	2,805	8,341
0.04	64	8,405
0.03	7,634	16,038
0.02	24,748	40,786
0.01	531,464	572,250

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.93	2,947	2,947
0.94	2,588	5,535
0.95	2,805	8,341
0.96	64	8,405
0.97	7,634	16,038
0.98	24,748	40,786
0.99	531,464	572,250

Spread0.02Mid0.92

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.91	29,104	29,104
0.90	11,077	40,181
0.89	2,486	42,667
0.88	300	42,967
0.87	2,570	45,537
0.86	1,094	46,632
0.85	707	47,339
0.84	579	47,918
0.83	108	48,025
0.82	100	48,125
0.81	233	48,359
0.80	135	48,494

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x1e77401bB590f95C1202e4FC65D4028c09C5C65f-1761894302097	Yes	35,101.99
BlackswanDefi	Yes	24,066.44
0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794	Yes	19,982.28
BarryandLarrytradiing	Yes	12,442.67
comon119	Yes	11,979.16
Jbetour	Yes	8,781.79
abracadabr	Yes	3,735.97
Crypto4thewin	Yes	2,902.17
Pivko	Yes	2,519.99
0x5d25…b703	Yes	2,355.53
Jordany33	Yes	2,000
0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA9604	Yes	2,000
0x2814D522137052b40427447288BcD67fB6375596-1774971492367	Yes	1,667.9
MeiZzzi	Yes	1,500
george6688	Yes	999.96
0x702d…00cf	Yes	769.23
rajugg	Yes	769.23
slavicrunes	Yes	769.23
RRR27	Yes	700
0xa1E4Ee594eB67B53df404E535927ee66237Fbd8F-1774847623083	Yes	680.13

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
03:02:52	BUY	No	0.9299999577	1	$1.10
03:02:46	SELL	No	0.91	5	$4.94
02:58:45	BUY	No	0.9299999577	1	$1.10
02:58:42	SELL	No	0.91	2	$1.93
11:25:30	BUY	No	0.93	2	$1.50
11:25:30	BUY	No	0.9299999907	1	$1.00
11:25:28	BUY	No	0.93	6	$5.58
11:25:28	BUY	No	0.9299999577	1	$1.10
11:25:25	BUY	No	0.9299999845	1	$1.20
11:25:25	BUY	No	0.9299999488	1	$1.09
11:25:25	BUY	No	0.93	5	$4.65
11:25:25	BUY	Yes	0.0899999969	22	$2.00
08:21:43	BUY	No	0.9299999814	2	$2.00
04:22:13	BUY	No	0.9299999577	1	$1.10
04:22:09	BUY	No	0.93	5	$4.65
04:22:09	SELL	No	0.9132949029	33	$30.10
01:56:55	BUY	No	0.9299999577	1	$1.10
01:56:52	BUY	No	0.93	5	$4.65
01:56:52	SELL	No	0.91	38	$34.62
01:52:49	BUY	No	0.93	2	$2.06
01:52:25	BUY	No	0.9299999577	1	$1.10
01:52:22	BUY	No	0.93	10	$9.02
01:52:21	SELL	No	0.9107747396	108	$97.93
21:39:12	BUY	No	0.9299999577	1	$1.10
21:39:10	BUY	No	0.93	2	$1.50