PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x2814D522137052b40427447288BcD67fB6375596-1774971492367

0x2814d522137052b40427447288bcd67fb6375596

Realised P&L
$-6.6k
Volume
$153.2k
Markets traded
181
Open portfolio
$668.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded181
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1500.095$158.45$91.55
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1170.036$141.67$316.82
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.4140.195$117.84$132.16
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.5610.165$102.92$247.08
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? · No0.4810.460$36.80$1.70
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.2200.075$34.09$65.91
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? · Yes0.6200.840$33.60+$8.80
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? · Yes0.1200.022$28.28$125.96
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0960.041$14.67$20.10
Will Slavia Pragu win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$0.08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? · No0.5000.000$0.00$131.38
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? · No0.3770.000$0.00$260.00
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$50.00
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$0.08
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$0.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-04 17:02Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?SELL0.0394335811$11.83
07-04 17:01Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?SELL0.94$187.99
07-01 17:36Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.356$35.60
06-30 20:11Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?SELL0.9715914465$66.56
06-30 02:56Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.0312$3.12
06-30 00:00Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?SELL0.9275$18.55
06-29 22:20Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.055$4.23
06-29 22:20Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.055$4.23
06-29 22:20Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.055$4.23
06-29 22:20Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.055$4.23
06-29 22:20Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.055$4.23
06-29 22:20Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.055$4.23
06-29 22:20Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.055$4.23
06-29 19:09Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?SELL0.05$5.70
06-29 19:09Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?SELL0.05$5.70