0x2814D522137052b40427447288BcD67fB6375596-1774971492367
0x2814d522137052b40427447288bcd67fb6375596
- Realised P&L
- $-6.6k
- Volume
- $153.2k
- Markets traded
- 181
- Open portfolio
- $668.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded181
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.591US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$186.75at 0.013Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$106.97at 0.481Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?
- +$100.16at 0.833Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?
- +$82.00at 0.530Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 17:02 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | SELL | 0.0394335811 | $11.83 |
| 07-04 17:01 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | SELL | 0.94 | $187.99 |
| 07-01 17:36 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.356 | $35.60 |
| 06-30 20:11 | Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30? | SELL | 0.9715914465 | $66.56 |
| 06-30 02:56 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.0312 | $3.12 |
| 06-30 00:00 | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9275 | $18.55 |
| 06-29 22:20 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.055 | $4.23 |
| 06-29 22:20 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.055 | $4.23 |
| 06-29 22:20 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.055 | $4.23 |
| 06-29 22:20 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.055 | $4.23 |
| 06-29 22:20 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.055 | $4.23 |
| 06-29 22:20 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.055 | $4.23 |
| 06-29 22:20 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.055 | $4.23 |
| 06-29 19:09 | Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $5.70 |
| 06-29 19:09 | Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $5.70 |