wugeyi
0xf3ca90002a591c8abcb39f8b0d83d2885d0f60ae
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $1.13M
- Markets traded
- 777
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded777
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.006Trump out as President by September 30?
- +$1.7kat 0.010Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- +$1.4kat 0.003Trump out as President by August 31?
- +$497.28at 0.006Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- +$376.00at 0.860Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 12:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 10-01 08:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $13.90 |
| 10-01 07:03 | Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.7% and 4.0%? | BUY | 0.942 | $5.20 |
| 10-01 06:56 | Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.7% and 4.0%? | BUY | 0.95 | $125.58 |
| 10-01 05:16 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.049 | $14.58 |
| 09-30 12:50 | Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%? | SELL | 0.78 | $31.20 |
| 09-29 15:47 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | SELL | 0.36 | $4.10 |
| 09-29 15:22 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.34 | $15.17 |
| 09-28 00:17 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.037 | $0.74 |
| 09-23 00:09 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.038 | $15.45 |
| 09-23 00:09 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.53 |
| 09-22 06:38 | Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.7% and 4.0%? | BUY | 0.915 | $54.99 |
| 09-21 23:22 | Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%? | BUY | 0.17 | $7.96 |
| 09-21 13:14 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September? | SELL | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 09-21 12:50 | Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $16.00 |