PolyBot

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Traders

Jbetour

0x700c72df61930af435b565369bcb382d8282d237

Realised P&L
$-667.61
Volume
$47.8k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$706.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1140.080$702.54$297.46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.055$3.67$6.33
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00$550.99
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$10.00
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026? · Yes0.0940.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET · Up0.2680.000$0.00$148.83
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? · Yes0.1260.000$0.00$10.00
Will Bill Clinton say "Massage" during his Epstein testimony? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$5.00
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$10.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? · Yes0.1040.000$0.00$20.00
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 30-April 5? · Yes0.3090.000$0.00$43.39
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? · No0.0250.000$0.00$10.00
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$8.00
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? · No0.0230.000$0.00$10.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-27 17:21Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?BUY0.0368957324$271.00
07-24 04:45Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?BUY0.0944214707$280.00
07-05 16:15Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?BUY0.1138720226$1000.00
07-05 16:13Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
05-06 06:42US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?BUY0.0629999978$26.00
04-29 03:13Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?SELL0.046$7.67
04-29 03:12Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?SELL0.001$0.12
04-29 03:12Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.086$8.43
04-29 03:11Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.023$10.95
04-13 12:59Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?BUY0.0321962175$8.00
04-08 09:41Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.011$10.00
04-08 00:01US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?BUY0.01$1.00
04-07 23:41US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?SELL0.985$224.97
04-06 11:48US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.004$10.00
04-01 13:43Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 30-April 5?BUY0.1$13.06