Jbetour
0x700c72df61930af435b565369bcb382d8282d237
- Realised P&L
- $-667.61
- Volume
- $47.8k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $706.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$203.98at 0.092US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$124.67at 0.100US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$77.54at 0.114Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$47.50at 0.240US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$0.52at 0.021Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 17:21 | Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | BUY | 0.0368957324 | $271.00 |
| 07-24 04:45 | Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | BUY | 0.0944214707 | $280.00 |
| 07-05 16:15 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1138720226 | $1000.00 |
| 07-05 16:13 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 05-06 06:42 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0629999978 | $26.00 |
| 04-29 03:13 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? | SELL | 0.046 | $7.67 |
| 04-29 03:12 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.12 |
| 04-29 03:12 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.086 | $8.43 |
| 04-29 03:11 | Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.023 | $10.95 |
| 04-13 12:59 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | BUY | 0.0321962175 | $8.00 |
| 04-08 09:41 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.011 | $10.00 |
| 04-08 00:01 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 10? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 04-07 23:41 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | SELL | 0.985 | $224.97 |
| 04-06 11:48 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.004 | $10.00 |
| 04-01 13:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 30-April 5? | BUY | 0.1 | $13.06 |