PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

comon119

0xc3c3b3ef304ddbea39fa2246e683a71da5d0eec8

Realised P&L
$-3.97M
Volume
$167.26M
Markets traded
5,712
Open portfolio
$72.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,712
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration5.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1250.039$47.7k$105.6k
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1470.115$22.8k$6.4k
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1230.080$958.33$511.04
Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-08-10? · Yes0.1300.095$554.59$203.93
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9280.970$35.39+$1.52
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3950.503$10.08+$2.17
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.4900.475$9.51$0.30
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6100.445$8.93$3.31
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.945$4.72+$0.28
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4700.195$3.90$5.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3900.150$3.00$4.80
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3200.070$1.40$5.01
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2300.065$1.30$3.31
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.045$0.90$2.10
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1600.065$0.71$1.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-03 12:37Toulouse FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5BUY0.51$1.3k
09-03 12:35Will Lille OSC win on 2026-09-03?BUY0.51$4.1k
09-03 12:30FC Lugano vs. Servette Geneva: O/U 2.5BUY0.57$1.3k
09-03 12:29Will FC Lugano win on 2026-09-03?BUY0.54$1.1k
09-03 12:28Chicago White Sox vs. Houston AstrosBUY0.4$2.4k
09-03 12:25Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-09-03?BUY0.34$1.2k
09-03 12:22US Open ATP: Alexei Popyrin vs Alejandro TabiloBUY0.4$2.2k
09-03 12:21Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC vs. Beitar Jerusalem FC end in a draw?BUY0.2738570428$766.49
09-03 12:17US Open WTA: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Alexandra EalaBUY0.13$787.18
09-03 12:15San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5BUY0.54$1.4k
09-03 12:13Will NEOM SC win on 2026-09-03?BUY0.58$2.3k
09-03 12:12Will Palermo FC win on 2026-09-03?BUY0.41988148$2.1k
09-03 12:08US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Katerina SiniakovaBUY0.22$2.2k
09-03 02:44Will CF América win on 2026-09-02?BUY0.46$2.3k
09-02 22:41New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5BUY0.39$117.46