0x5d25d5325c5c1b0ed0f46d71660786866561b703
0x5d25d5325c5c1b0ed0f46d71660786866561b703
- Realised P&L
- $-512.18
- Volume
- $13.1k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.71at 0.337Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
- +$10.21at 0.560Will Israel strike Gaza on December 12?
- +$8.87at 0.530Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?
- +$7.00at 0.300U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
- +$6.58at 0.918Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 16:00 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9499999185 | $6.41 |
| 09-23 20:56 | Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $16.75 |
| 08-23 22:31 | Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $26.08 |
| 08-22 19:40 | Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $70.00 |
| 08-22 19:39 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.926 | $185.04 |
| 08-22 06:10 | Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $57.60 |
| 08-17 08:45 | Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $40.50 |
| 08-17 08:44 | Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $53.79 |
| 08-16 22:24 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.9299999981 | $371.70 |
| 08-16 22:21 | Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $37.57 |
| 08-16 22:16 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.992 | $292.98 |
| 08-15 21:09 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.992 | $292.98 |
| 08-01 05:48 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9879999985 | $583.60 |
| 08-01 05:41 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.9098180357 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 08:42 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.8991017972 | $10.00 |