0x5d25d5325c5c1b0ed0f46d71660786866561b703
- Realised P&L
- $-483.66
- Volume
- $7.7k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $909.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.71at 0.337Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
- +$10.21at 0.560Will Israel strike Gaza on December 12?
- +$8.87at 0.530Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?
- +$7.00at 0.300U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
- +$3.85at 0.430Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 05:48 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9879999985 | $583.60 |
| 08-01 05:41 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.9098180357 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 08:42 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.8991017972 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 19:18 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina? | BUY | 0.9099999989 | $50.44 |
| 07-19 06:15 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4099999836 | $5.00 |
| 07-13 02:52 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.0899999985 | $50.00 |
| 05-30 07:24 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $12.45 |
| 05-10 06:37 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1499999959 | $29.57 |
| 04-07 20:13 | Will Trump visit China by June 30? | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 04-07 20:11 | Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30? | SELL | 0.0125980392 | $0.51 |
| 03-31 06:04 | Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.23 |
| 03-31 06:04 | Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.02 |
| 02-28 17:57 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.00 |
| 02-28 17:53 | Will Trump visit China by March 31? | BUY | 0.6521847663 | $8.00 |
| 02-20 07:25 | Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? | BUY | 0.0383454078 | $1.00 |