PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x5d25d5325c5c1b0ed0f46d71660786866561b703

Realised P&L
$-483.66
Volume
$7.7k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$909.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · No0.9880.987$583.01$0.59
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1160.135$172.12+$24.10
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · No0.9100.927$101.94+$1.94
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.0900.095$52.78+$2.78
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina? · No0.9100.000$0.00$50.44
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? · No0.0260.000$0.00$19.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$5.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · No0.5500.000$0.00$8.00
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31? · No0.4570.000$0.00$19.00
Will Trump visit China by April 30? · Yes0.8700.000$0.00$8.00
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? · No0.0410.000$0.00$4.00
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.3120.000$0.00$5.00
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be greater than 2.5%? · Yes0.1130.000$0.00$408.99
Will Trump visit China by March 31? · Yes0.6520.000$0.00$8.00
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.0980.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 05:48Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9879999985$583.60
08-01 05:41Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.9098180357$100.00
07-31 08:42Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.8991017972$10.00
07-19 19:18Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?BUY0.9099999989$50.44
07-19 06:15Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4099999836$5.00
07-13 02:52Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?BUY0.0899999985$50.00
05-30 07:24Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.16$12.45
05-10 06:37Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1499999959$29.57
04-07 20:13Will Trump visit China by June 30?BUY0.8$10.00
04-07 20:11Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?SELL0.0125980392$0.51
03-31 06:04Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?SELL0.024$0.23
03-31 06:04Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?BUY0.025$1.02
02-28 17:57Will Trump visit China by April 30?BUY0.87$8.00
02-28 17:53Will Trump visit China by March 31?BUY0.6521847663$8.00
02-20 07:25Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?BUY0.0383454078$1.00