PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Papi545

0xda9c7f8bffa4276f1fc687e74c6fd233d3f21403

Realised P&L
$-29.73
Volume
$2.7k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$88.26

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration96.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.0800.055$88.26−$40.61

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 14:34Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.0489999997$5.00
10-28 14:33Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?SELL0.05$5.12
10-16 16:05Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?BUY0.0699999999$57.90
09-22 16:58Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?BUY0.09$79.20
02-01 10:40Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?SELL0.1$0.83
02-01 10:40Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?SELL0.057$1.09
02-01 10:40Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?SELL0.978$2.98
02-01 10:40Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.11$3.93
02-01 10:40Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?SELL0.13$3.14
02-01 10:40Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.12$26.03
01-27 23:31Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?BUY0.9809999961$3.00
01-27 23:30Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.1299999951$20.00
01-27 23:27Will Trump say "America" or "American" 15+ times during Iowa speech?SELL0.999$22.70
01-27 23:26Will Trump say "China" or "Russia" 15+ times during Iowa speech?SELL0.001$0.05
01-26 23:39Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.1399999627$3.00