Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2028-01-01
Rewards: 0 min size · 0¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.12. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.10. Range 0.10 to 0.12. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.12	15,025	15,025
0.13	16,202	31,227
0.14	4,286	35,513
0.15	4,514	40,027
0.16	3,068	43,095
0.17	3,980	47,074
0.18	10,652	57,727
0.19	10,300	68,027
0.20	2,725	70,752
0.21	5,067	75,819
0.22	4,949	80,768
0.23	2,990	83,757

Spread0.01Mid0.11

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.11	21,264	21,264
0.10	97,675	118,939
0.09	58,147	177,087
0.08	31,113	208,200
0.07	32,553	240,753
0.06	16,181	256,934
0.05	16,851	273,785
0.04	11,228	285,013
0.03	28,994	314,007
0.02	57,451	371,458
0.01	2,331,153	2,702,611

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.89	21,264	21,264
0.90	97,675	118,939
0.91	58,147	177,087
0.92	31,113	208,200
0.93	32,553	240,753
0.94	16,181	256,934
0.95	16,851	273,785
0.96	11,228	285,013
0.97	28,994	314,007
0.98	57,451	371,458
0.99	2,331,153	2,702,611

Spread0.01Mid0.89

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.88	15,025	15,025
0.87	16,202	31,227
0.86	4,286	35,513
0.85	4,514	40,027
0.84	3,068	43,095
0.83	3,980	47,074
0.82	10,652	57,727
0.81	10,300	68,027
0.80	2,725	70,752
0.79	5,067	75,819
0.78	4,949	80,768
0.77	2,990	83,757

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
comon119	Yes	198,022.88
TheLakeside	Yes	56,757.54
0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794	Yes	54,280.47
tsihkodiives	Yes	53,054.42
OnYesYes	Yes	52,512.75
SlashClam	Yes	39,999.92
0x1e77401bB590f95C1202e4FC65D4028c09C5C65f-1761894302097	Yes	30,876.89
aosdijf	Yes	30,198.05
A324252	Yes	26,786.63
Crypto4thewin	Yes	26,155.81
92586o	Yes	23,817.92
koohsyusdty	Yes	20,533.48
Ajjooli	Yes	15,469.45
ahhuat8	Yes	13,800.42
SlayerH	Yes	10,533.33
WarpSpeed	Yes	10,100
0x0f6399f3d5F152a7679D148C765363D896C1b385-1768049206153	Yes	10,098
thedragon620	Yes	9,999.98
firegold	Yes	9,793.5
leo777	Yes	8,560.74

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
18:59:28	SELL	No	0.88	60	$52.57
18:23:46	BUY	Yes	0.12	1,000	$120.00
17:03:33	BUY	No	0.8899999996	181	$161.00
08:50:48	BUY	Yes	0.119999999	42	$5.00
04:15:25	SELL	No	0.88	200	$176.00
04:02:42	BUY	Yes	0.12	800	$96.00
23:13:16	SELL	No	0.88	11	$9.88
23:11:18	BUY	Yes	0.1199999904	8	$1.00
19:37:43	SELL	Yes	0.11	125	$13.75
18:57:22	SELL	No	0.88	139	$122.15
15:44:36	BUY	Yes	0.1199999904	8	$1.00
11:42:27	SELL	Yes	0.11	54	$5.94
11:25:36	BUY	Yes	0.12	25	$3.00
11:16:37	SELL	No	0.88	1,251	$1100.71
10:54:43	SELL	No	0.88	2,000	$1760.00
10:52:04	BUY	Yes	0.12	54	$6.48
10:51:25	BUY	No	0.8899999986	56	$50.00
10:13:49	SELL	Yes	0.11	72	$7.92
10:02:13	BUY	Yes	0.12	72	$8.64
09:27:43	BUY	Yes	0.12	100	$12.00
04:26:13	SELL	No	0.88	29	$25.57
01:53:12	SELL	No	0.88	131	$115.00
21:59:54	SELL	Yes	0.11	22	$2.42
21:52:19	SELL	Yes	0.11	21	$2.31
21:39:01	SELL	No	0.88	30	$26.40