Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-12-31
Rewards: 0 min size · 0¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.14. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.13. Range 0.12 to 0.17. 155 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.14	24,726	24,726
0.15	25,103	49,829
0.16	3,847	53,675
0.17	4,135	57,810
0.18	1,917	59,727
0.19	2,714	62,441
0.20	1,449	63,890
0.21	3,214	67,104
0.22	3,590	70,694
0.23	2,110	72,804
0.24	1,230	74,034
0.25	5,087	79,121

Spread0.01Mid0.14

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.13	18,969	18,969
0.12	13,992	32,960
0.11	28,415	61,375
0.10	36,391	97,766
0.09	26,600	124,365
0.08	40,514	164,879
0.07	18,073	182,952
0.06	26,781	209,733
0.05	36,928	246,662
0.04	24,406	271,068
0.03	33,156	304,224
0.02	90,756	394,980

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.87	18,969	18,969
0.88	13,992	32,960
0.89	28,415	61,375
0.90	36,391	97,766
0.91	26,600	124,365
0.92	40,514	164,879
0.93	18,073	182,952
0.94	26,781	209,733
0.95	36,928	246,662
0.96	24,406	271,068
0.97	33,156	304,224
0.98	90,756	394,980

Spread0.01Mid0.86

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.86	24,726	24,726
0.85	25,103	49,829
0.84	3,847	53,675
0.83	4,135	57,810
0.82	1,917	59,727
0.81	2,714	62,441
0.80	1,449	63,890
0.79	3,214	67,104
0.78	3,590	70,694
0.77	2,110	72,804
0.76	1,230	74,034
0.75	5,087	79,121

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
comon119	Yes	198,022.88
0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794	Yes	54,280.47
OnYesYes	Yes	52,512.75
0x1e77401bB590f95C1202e4FC65D4028c09C5C65f-1761894302097	Yes	30,876.89
Changpohouxue	Yes	29,999.92
A324252	Yes	26,786.63
Crypto4thewin	Yes	23,958.97
92586o	Yes	23,817.92
koohsyusdty	Yes	20,533.48
throat-goat	Yes	19,999.98
TheLakeside	Yes	12,413.31
WarpSpeed	Yes	10,100
0x0f6399f3d5F152a7679D148C765363D896C1b385-1768049206153	Yes	10,098
thedragon620	Yes	9,999.98
firegold	Yes	9,938.61
pengpeng32	Yes	9,105.51
leo777	Yes	8,560.74
srunml	Yes	8,449.21
tiger555	Yes	7,530.19
lu2000	Yes	6,797.02

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
09:43:18	SELL	Yes	0.13	4,254	$552.96
08:13:00	BUY	No	0.87	20	$17.40
05:56:57	BUY	No	0.8699999906	7	$6.50
03:05:18	BUY	No	0.87	5	$4.35
02:05:36	BUY	No	0.87	6,221	$5412.17
01:51:59	BUY	No	0.8699999959	24	$21.00
01:32:09	BUY	No	0.8699999971	7	$6.00
01:21:42	BUY	No	0.8699999971	7	$6.00
23:41:12	SELL	Yes	0.13	14,947	$1943.09
20:27:35	BUY	Yes	0.1399999787	36	$5.00
20:07:17	BUY	No	0.8699999957	115	$100.00
19:19:15	BUY	No	0.8699999791	23	$20.00
16:38:33	SELL	Yes	0.13	35	$4.51
15:07:57	SELL	No	0.86	420	$361.20
08:15:09	SELL	No	0.86	120	$103.20
07:32:45	BUY	Yes	0.1399999888	71	$10.00
05:32:38	SELL	No	0.86	9	$7.74
05:26:30	SELL	No	0.86	10	$8.17
03:29:35	SELL	No	0.86	10	$8.60
21:59:24	BUY	No	0.8699999678	11	$10.00
18:28:26	BUY	Yes	0.1399999999	6,571	$919.99
17:56:00	BUY	Yes	0.1399999888	71	$10.00
17:49:36	SELL	No	0.86	6,000	$5160.00
16:35:38	BUY	No	0.87	10	$8.70
16:35:32	SELL	Yes	0.13	1	$0.09