PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

leo777

0xf74afe93b7410ec539cf0966b5b97e9870bbdad9

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$128.1k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$984.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1510.115$984.48$305.52
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$96.00
Harmonix FDV above $15M one day after launch? · Yes0.4380.000$0.00$208.20
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.2470.000$0.00$99.00
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes0.2260.000$0.00$113.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-10 01:36Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?BUY0.92$109.48
07-09 23:54Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?BUY0.91$27.30
07-09 14:37Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?BUY0.2475$99.00
07-07 14:04Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.08$96.00
07-05 22:35Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.051$0.31
06-23 01:27Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?SELL0.05$100.00
06-22 23:08Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.59$1.2k
06-21 06:18Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.017$327.25
06-14 14:47Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.016$124.16
06-14 14:31Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.016$99.04
06-12 12:30Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.025$50.00
06-10 01:29Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.025$50.00
05-31 08:21Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.019$100.70
05-30 09:59China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?SELL0.07$117.74
05-30 09:49Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.2554611345$436.84