Ajjooli
0x0404bf5d24bfc14f7102930b876d182434a48353
- Realised P&L
- $5.2k
- Volume
- $913.7k
- Markets traded
- 303
- Open portfolio
- $35.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded303
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.2kat 0.756Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?
- +$1.4kat 0.678Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$566.07at 0.771Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$464.63at 0.569Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$433.99at 0.141US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:44 | Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026? | BUY | 0.9179385666 | $537.91 |
| 11-01 19:44 | New pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.978 | $293.40 |
| 11-01 19:43 | New pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.9791208659 | $399.37 |
| 10-31 18:15 | Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026? | BUY | 0.8928379447 | $196.52 |
| 10-27 10:37 | Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $8.68 |
| 10-26 17:05 | Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $13.65 |
| 10-26 17:04 | Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $91.08 |
| 10-26 17:04 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.004 | $6.00 |
| 10-26 08:08 | Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 10-24 21:55 | Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.005 | $5.23 |
| 10-24 21:55 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $321.64 |
| 10-24 12:11 | Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026? | SELL | 0.986 | $234.67 |
| 10-23 20:59 | Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0204718564 | $8.74 |
| 10-23 20:58 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $465.00 |
| 10-23 20:56 | Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $22.41 |