PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x0f6399f3d5F152a7679D148C765363D896C1b385-1768049206153

0x0f6399f3d5f152a7679d148c765363d896c1b385

Realised P&L
$784.77
Volume
$156.0k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1730.135$1.4k$386.69
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$100.00
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$100.00
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? · No0.0290.000$0.00$50.00
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$50.00
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025? · Yes0.0680.000$0.00$99.93
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$29.99
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? · Yes0.2540.000$0.00$200.00
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$50.00
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? · Yes0.0840.000$0.00$200.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-02 07:42Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.064$435.94
06-02 07:41Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.064$491.59
06-02 07:37Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?SELL0.12$27.91
05-11 09:55Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1799999993$200.00
05-11 09:55Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1799999993$200.00
05-11 09:55Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1799999993$200.00
05-11 09:47Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.0689999999$500.00
05-11 09:46Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.0689999999$500.00
05-11 03:40Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1699999986$100.00
05-11 03:40Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1699999986$100.00
05-11 03:40Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1699999986$100.00
04-24 00:41Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?SELL0.0570383232$215.77
04-21 11:20DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?SELL0.7598233547$3.3k
04-10 03:26DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?BUY0.8321150605$3.6k
03-25 04:11Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY0.0528704154$200.00