PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

glassred

0xf0fc2d0bf309f3c3cb6dbccde9d69968952cc715

Realised P&L
$4.6k
Volume
$16.77M
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1100.115$2.1k+$85.28
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? · Yes0.0830.055$56.39−$28.85
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5AM ET · Up0.9550.000$0.00−$1.1k
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? · Down0.4000.000$0.00−$8.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 12PM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00−$14.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11AM ET · Down0.2700.000$0.00−$5.94
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$11.56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7AM ET · Up0.0520.000$0.00−$7.72
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2AM ET · Up0.3700.000$0.00−$11.09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8AM ET · Up0.2260.000$0.00−$11.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 11:54Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7AM ETBUY0.03$2.91
10-08 11:40Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7AM ETSELL0.22$5.50
10-08 11:39Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7AM ETSELL0.14$10.50
10-08 09:35Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?SELL0.06$10.52
10-08 08:28Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?SELL0.07$11.34
10-07 11:01Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?SELL0.11$66.61
10-07 10:58Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?BUY0.1182957623$28.39
10-05 16:03Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?SELL0.999$40.96
10-05 15:17Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?BUY0.15$12.30
09-20 16:25Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.12$397.16
09-08 08:51Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.11$11.00
08-25 15:16Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?SELL0.11$170.50
08-20 19:27Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.001$60.00
08-20 18:56Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.001$60.00
08-07 07:51Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.036$18.60