PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

A324252

0x960b975c28e34241644d283df9b13b35c1f64a03

Realised P&L
$-41.5k
Volume
$342.4k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$4.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-12.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration76.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1700.135$3.6k$937.53
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1080.040$359.53$623.54
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? · No0.4720.000$0.00$10.4k
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026? · No0.5990.000$0.00$282.73
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? · No0.8560.000$0.00$42.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-21 06:22Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.1080068689$983.07
02-13 03:42Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?SELL0.8999035326$2.8k
02-13 02:39Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?SELL0.91$114.20
02-13 02:24Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?BUY0.8336988526$1.1k
02-13 02:08Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?SELL0.8923573671$1.3k
02-13 02:05Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?SELL0.9127866743$2.5k
02-13 01:53Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?SELL0.9418235486$317.32
02-13 01:46Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?SELL0.9501907368$992.95
02-13 01:42Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?BUY0.8106871182$3.1k
02-13 01:41Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?SELL0.8867314166$3.1k
02-13 01:38Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?BUY0.7940736877$354.75
02-13 01:34Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?SELL0.9605199808$579.99
02-13 01:19Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?SELL0.9661264902$499.22
02-13 01:13Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?BUY0.8464623392$1.4k
02-13 01:12Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?SELL0.9350478953$3.0k