Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.041. down 0.002 over the period, from 0.043. Range 0.034 to 0.049. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.042	437	437
0.045	100	537
0.046	50	587
0.047	200	787
0.048	26	813
0.049	241	1,054
0.052	179	1,233
0.053	1,171	2,404
0.054	250	2,654
0.055	685	3,339
0.057	45	3,384
0.058	100	3,484

Spread0.002Mid0.041

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.040	429	429
0.039	443	872
0.038	50	922
0.037	343	1,265
0.036	250	1,515
0.035	200	1,715
0.034	258	1,973
0.033	493	2,466
0.032	500	2,966
0.031	135	3,100
0.030	828	3,928
0.021	200	4,128

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.960	429	429
0.961	443	872
0.962	50	922
0.963	343	1,265
0.964	250	1,515
0.965	200	1,715
0.966	258	1,973
0.967	493	2,466
0.968	500	2,966
0.969	135	3,100
0.970	828	3,928
0.979	200	4,128

Spread0.002Mid0.959

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.958	437	437
0.955	100	537
0.954	50	587
0.953	200	787
0.952	26	813
0.951	241	1,054
0.948	179	1,233
0.947	1,171	2,404
0.946	250	2,654
0.945	685	3,339
0.943	45	3,384
0.942	100	3,484

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
LlamaLoco0000	Yes	124,177.82
0x154506893D8Ea9BcdF2A875a7A6CFe810e173599-1771680135006	Yes	17,184.3
PauliusKuncinas	Yes	5,776.47
ddw2222	Yes	4,056.31
B1B2	Yes	3,460
Pivko	Yes	3,412.09
pollium	Yes	3,133.47
0x3783d304429894664c0661797bfbC7A679fEF624-1734660003294	Yes	2,507.23
QuantZVision	Yes	2,171.42
FC26	Yes	1,813.72
jacoboliver	Yes	1,707.02
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495	Yes	1,664.9
0x1856747d92A55Ffe5F8294f1916Ae514E509506e-1775667332108	Yes	1,655.7
KKCY3218	Yes	1,541.64
rewardbots	Yes	1,000
Perypery	Yes	859.53
0xC204aCeeF6E508753d0495E94a30DE8418517927-1774255459293	Yes	672.33
0x695f…7616	Yes	656.11
Dr.PNL	Yes	349.99
ManAreBrave	Yes	340.32

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
00:43:15	SELL	No	0.958	1	$1.00
00:25:30	BUY	No	0.96	1	$1.00
20:02:28	BUY	No	0.96	313	$300.00
18:50:39	SELL	No	0.958	7	$6.61
18:50:37	SELL	No	0.959	500	$479.50
15:47:06	SELL	No	0.959	1	$1.02
09:50:37	BUY	No	0.96	208	$199.92
08:13:19	SELL	No	0.959	2	$1.99
05:01:42	BUY	No	0.96	313	$300.00
14:17:12	SELL	No	0.959	11	$10.18
14:12:30	SELL	No	0.959	0	$0.34
14:12:22	BUY	No	0.960999932	5	$5.00
14:00:52	BUY	No	0.9609999996	312	$299.77
01:47:51	BUY	No	0.962	1	$1.00
23:00:03	BUY	No	0.9619999999	312	$299.77
19:15:42	BUY	Yes	0.0409999998	24	$1.00
14:27:24	BUY	Yes	0.0409999998	98	$4.00
11:19:27	BUY	No	0.9629999851	2	$2.00
09:37:43	SELL	No	0.959	350	$336.07
08:17:12	SELL	No	0.959	1	$1.13
08:10:12	SELL	No	0.9591754	50	$47.96
08:10:09	BUY	Yes	0.036941191	893	$33.00
07:59:34	SELL	Yes	0.034	43	$1.47
07:59:30	SELL	Yes	0.035	43	$1.51
07:59:28	BUY	No	0.9649999999	311	$299.77