Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.023. down 0.002 over the period, from 0.025. Range 0.023 to 0.026. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.024	14	14
0.025	50	64
0.026	6	70
0.027	323	393
0.029	194	587
0.030	50	637
0.031	294	931
0.032	191	1,122
0.033	523	1,645
0.034	664	2,309
0.035	157	2,466
0.036	100	2,566

Spread0.002Mid0.023

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.022	538	538
0.021	59	597
0.020	1,614	2,211
0.019	50	2,261
0.018	50	2,311
0.017	540	2,851
0.016	765	3,616
0.015	1,146	4,762
0.013	623	5,385
0.012	2,440	7,825
0.011	2,607	10,432
0.010	3,676	14,108

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.978	538	538
0.979	59	597
0.980	1,614	2,211
0.981	50	2,261
0.982	50	2,311
0.983	540	2,851
0.984	765	3,616
0.985	1,146	4,762
0.987	623	5,385
0.988	2,440	7,825
0.989	2,607	10,432
0.990	3,676	14,108

Spread0.002Mid0.977

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.976	14	14
0.975	50	64
0.974	6	70
0.973	323	393
0.971	194	587
0.970	50	637
0.969	294	931
0.968	191	1,122
0.967	523	1,645
0.966	664	2,309
0.965	157	2,466
0.964	100	2,566

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
LlamaLoco0000	Yes	124,177.82
0x154506893D8Ea9BcdF2A875a7A6CFe810e173599-1771680135006	Yes	39,965.31
B1B2	Yes	6,560
PauliusKuncinas	Yes	5,776.47
Pivko	Yes	3,412.09
pollium	Yes	3,133.47
0x3783d304429894664c0661797bfbC7A679fEF624-1734660003294	Yes	2,507.23
QuantZVision	Yes	2,171.42
FC26	Yes	1,813.72
jacoboliver	Yes	1,707.02
0x1856747d92A55Ffe5F8294f1916Ae514E509506e-1775667332108	Yes	1,655.7
KKCY3218	Yes	1,541.64
Perypery	Yes	1,359.53
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495	Yes	848.38
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	745.67
0xC204aCeeF6E508753d0495E94a30DE8418517927-1774255459293	Yes	672.33
0x695f…7616	Yes	656.11
BabyGroot	Yes	589.66
Dr.PNL	Yes	524.99
purebaby	Yes	463.99

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
14:55:18	SELL	No	0.976	10	$9.77
14:54:55	BUY	No	0.977999995	10	$9.79
12:59:19	SELL	No	0.976	10	$9.77
12:58:36	BUY	No	0.977999995	10	$9.79
12:42:36	BUY	No	0.976	108	$105.77
12:24:40	BUY	No	0.976	134	$130.78
01:46:36	SELL	No	0.973	5	$4.87
08:20:54	SELL	No	0.973	5	$4.87
08:20:15	SELL	No	0.973	5	$4.87
08:20:00	SELL	No	0.973	0	$0.26
08:19:54	BUY	No	0.9752843364	5	$4.88
08:19:06	SELL	No	0.973	5	$4.87
08:19:06	BUY	No	0.9749998452	5	$4.88
08:18:31	BUY	No	0.9749998452	5	$4.88
01:35:39	SELL	Yes	0.0240758782	94	$2.27
11:22:27	SELL	No	0.973	11	$10.72
23:40:41	SELL	No	0.973	90	$87.57
09:52:48	BUY	No	0.9759999718	32	$31.00
01:36:09	BUY	No	0.9759999718	32	$31.00
12:40:30	SELL	No	0.975	21	$20.47
11:41:05	BUY	Yes	0.025	40	$1.00
11:35:11	BUY	Yes	0.025	40	$1.00
23:30:00	SELL	No	0.975	50	$48.75
18:44:09	SELL	Yes	0.024	64	$1.55
12:14:21	SELL	No	0.975	0	$0.39