PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x3783d304429894664c0661797bfbC7A679fEF624-1734660003294

0x3783d304429894664c0661797bfbc7a679fef624

Realised P&L
$-4.9k
Volume
$80.9k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$954.73

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0770.075$293.08$6.92
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0780.040$253.21$246.79
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0280.030$214.13+$14.15
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? · Yes0.0800.077$194.31$5.69
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3750.000$0.00$1000.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2280.000$0.00$500.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$500.00
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? · Yes0.2290.000$0.00$999.12
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$499.99
Will Biden pardon SBF? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00$1.1k
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$399.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-17 01:16Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?BUY0.0797694408$200.00
07-15 19:47Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2368761134$400.00
07-14 20:25Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1959999993$200.00
07-12 02:21Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.0767711586$300.00
07-12 02:15Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.0301469059$100.00
07-12 02:15Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.0269999997$100.00
07-12 01:56Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1989999987$100.00
07-12 01:51Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3749999999$1000.00
07-06 20:52Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1709999996$300.00
07-06 20:51Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0367756254$400.00
04-24 14:49Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?BUY0.0403867814$500.00
04-24 14:48Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.0779999999$500.00
04-07 16:59US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.004$10.00
04-02 01:12US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.5699999991$100.00
04-02 00:45US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.5399999993$200.00