0x695f15bcd90ab1a1cbde0cd8c61ebb8b54487616
- Realised P&L
- $-629.24
- Volume
- $20.9k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $26.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? · Yes | 0.072 | 0.041 | $26.90 | −$20.34 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-2.00at 0.070US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?
- +$-2.15at 0.073China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
- +$-2.67at 0.021US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
- +$-21.14at 0.038Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-24.00at 0.020US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 03:09 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1199999996 | $12.71 |
| 09-16 03:08 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.063 | $13.42 |
| 08-29 19:37 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.0724149393 | $15.43 |
| 08-29 19:35 | Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | BUY | 0.0720000001 | $47.24 |
| 07-11 15:24 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0579999989 | $47.43 |
| 07-11 14:46 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0589999989 | $47.53 |
| 06-30 03:57 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0369999983 | $20.09 |
| 06-30 03:48 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.02 | $21.42 |
| 06-30 02:05 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0559999995 | $97.39 |
| 06-30 01:39 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0189999991 | $20.35 |
| 06-22 15:46 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0129999993 | $18.57 |
| 06-22 15:44 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0679999992 | $80.00 |
| 06-12 05:27 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June? | BUY | 0.011 | $29.56 |
| 06-10 03:04 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1019999982 | $50.36 |
| 06-02 03:02 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0119999998 | $50.68 |