pollium
0x32dee29b052b079747ccc1d2f2eccdba8ac67e96
- Realised P&L
- $-123.75
- Volume
- $8.7k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $435.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration38.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.055 | $166.96 | −$33.04 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.079 | 0.055 | $139.68 | −$60.31 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.041 | $128.47 | −$30.40 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 16:53 | Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | BUY | 0.0432969715 | $58.87 |
| 09-07 15:14 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.0599999995 | $100.00 |
| 09-07 15:14 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $100.00 |
| 07-12 22:47 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.0730500877 | $100.00 |
| 07-12 22:44 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999992 | $100.00 |
| 07-12 22:41 | Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | BUY | 0.056378879 | $100.00 |