0x1856747d92A55Ffe5F8294f1916Ae514E509506e-1775667332108
0x1856747d92a55ffe5f8294f1916ae514e509506e
- Realised P&L
- $1.0k
- Volume
- $27.7k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.130Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
- +$276.19at 0.420US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$109.77at 0.247Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-19 20:06 | Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | BUY | 0.0603974897 | $100.00 |
| 08-19 20:05 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.0867616933 | $400.00 |
| 08-06 14:14 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $22.00 |
| 08-06 14:13 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1299999989 | $100.00 |
| 08-06 14:13 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $50.00 |
| 07-27 18:12 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2199999985 | $100.00 |
| 05-31 01:20 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.1499999976 | $50.00 |
| 05-13 13:48 | Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999953 | $35.00 |
| 05-13 13:42 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1869999986 | $100.00 |
| 05-07 13:55 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $50.00 |
| 05-05 07:02 | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $20.00 |
| 05-05 06:58 | Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | BUY | 0.2299999968 | $50.00 |
| 05-05 06:55 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? | BUY | 0.0699999969 | $20.00 |
| 05-05 06:55 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? | BUY | 0.128 | $30.00 |
| 05-05 06:47 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $30.00 |