jacoboliver
0x03ba71eba55bd541d948f6bba86342e8880491c0
- Realised P&L
- $-116.80
- Volume
- $22.1k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $626.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.09at 0.560Will Donald Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 12+ times during Syria President events on November 10?
- +$6.67at 0.750Oregon vs. Iowa
- +$1.54at 0.650Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?
- +$-4.32at 0.059Deel CEO jailed in 2025?
- +$-6.75at 0.370Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 19:37 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $50.67 |
| 09-06 19:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0583279319 | $75.00 |
| 09-06 19:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0992735821 | $75.00 |
| 09-06 19:35 | Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.0969085118 | $75.00 |
| 09-06 19:35 | NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | BUY | 0.1465988091 | $150.00 |
| 09-06 19:34 | Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | BUY | 0.0684008083 | $100.00 |
| 09-06 19:34 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0797375836 | $200.00 |
| 09-06 19:34 | Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | BUY | 0.0585816321 | $100.00 |
| 09-06 19:34 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.0755965906 | $150.00 |
| 09-06 19:33 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0404920674 | $300.00 |
| 11-17 22:19 | Deel CEO jailed in 2025? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.68 |
| 11-12 12:38 | Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 11-12 12:37 | Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 11-12 12:35 | Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 11-12 12:35 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.2899999846 | $10.00 |