PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

jacoboliver

0x03ba71eba55bd541d948f6bba86342e8880491c0

Realised P&L
$-116.80
Volume
$22.1k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$626.35

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.0800.055$137.95−$62.05
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0400.018$129.66−$170.34
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? · Yes0.1460.085$86.97−$63.03
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.0750.041$80.36−$69.64
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? · Yes0.0590.023$39.26−$60.74
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? · Yes0.0680.024$35.09−$64.91
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.039$32.94−$17.73
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0990.041$30.98−$44.02
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0580.021$27.00−$48.00
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? · Yes0.0970.032$24.77−$50.23
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes0.2900.040$1.38−$8.62
Will Donald Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during Syria President events on November 10? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.90
Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$10.00
Cluely $1B valuation in 2025? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$13.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 19:37Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.06$50.67
09-06 19:37Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0583279319$75.00
09-06 19:36Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0992735821$75.00
09-06 19:35Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?BUY0.0969085118$75.00
09-06 19:35NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?BUY0.1465988091$150.00
09-06 19:34Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?BUY0.0684008083$100.00
09-06 19:34US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.0797375836$200.00
09-06 19:34Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?BUY0.0585816321$100.00
09-06 19:34China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.0755965906$150.00
09-06 19:33Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.0404920674$300.00
11-17 22:19Deel CEO jailed in 2025?SELL0.008$0.68
11-12 12:38Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?BUY0.1199999899$10.00
11-12 12:37Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?BUY0.08$10.00
11-12 12:35Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?BUY0.1299999902$10.00
11-12 12:35GTA 6 launch postponed again?BUY0.2899999846$10.00