FC26
0x2a34cd7894045ea8d0e98023fa4626b9d847a560
- Realised P&L
- $-165.91
- Volume
- $9.5k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $112.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$209.97at 0.363Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$75.00at 0.250Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$50.40at 0.420Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August?
- +$8.29at 0.172Will Kristi Noem be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 13:18 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.0899999998 | $15.00 |
| 10-19 13:18 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.2799999993 | $50.00 |
| 10-19 13:17 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.3799999982 | $25.00 |
| 09-11 12:03 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in August? | BUY | 0.18 | $15.20 |
| 09-11 11:53 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in August? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.05 |
| 06-17 12:00 | Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | BUY | 0.0904147982 | $118.78 |
| 04-12 20:52 | Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.0786365 | $6.29 |
| 04-12 19:32 | Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 04-12 19:24 | Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.134 | $20.10 |
| 04-12 19:14 | Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.1396528926 | $1.69 |
| 02-21 22:11 | Will Howard Lutnick be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | SELL | 0.13 | $7.80 |
| 02-10 21:07 | Will Howard Lutnick be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | SELL | 0.243 | $1.21 |
| 02-10 03:00 | Will Kristi Noem be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | BUY | 0.193 | $0.97 |
| 02-10 02:59 | Will Howard Lutnick be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | BUY | 0.402 | $2.01 |
| 01-31 14:53 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.9780793953 | $307.98 |