PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

B1B2

0xf93002db9d13e3307f71b74e0cb3083f4766ac87

Realised P&L
$-230.09
Volume
$15.5k
Markets traded
107
Open portfolio
$155.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded107
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? · Yes0.0520.023$150.88−$191.93
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31? · Yes0.0750.056$5.04−$1.71
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 06:20Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?BUY0.075$6.75
10-11 06:08Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?BUY0.0365899143$76.84
08-15 08:02Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?BUY0.0535343667$32.12
08-11 09:40Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?BUY0.0592066067$88.81
07-26 18:37Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?BUY0.0838727279$114.07
06-20 16:07Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?SELL0.65$1.01
06-20 16:07S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22?BUY0.4899998285$1.00
06-20 09:20S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22?BUY0.6$1.00
06-20 09:14Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?BUY0.089999919$1.00
06-18 12:52SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 18?BUY0.71$2.00
06-18 12:50Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETBUY0.4599997608$1.00
06-18 12:48Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETBUY0.0299999712$1.00
06-18 12:47Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETBUY0.0699999363$1.00
06-18 12:46Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETBUY0.2299998275$1.00
06-18 12:44Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?SELL0.76$1.00