Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.171. up 0.068 over the period, from 0.103. Range 0.103 to 0.527. 148 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.232	5	5
0.234	11	16
0.235	64	80
0.236	60	140
0.590	435	575
0.912	6	582
0.913	22	604
0.914	12	616
0.915	35	650
0.916	48	698
0.919	43	741
0.920	5	746

Spread0.120Mid0.172

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.112	86	86
0.109	40	126
0.108	15	141
0.100	5	146
0.099	20	166
0.083	87	253
0.082	146	399
0.081	1,293	1,692
0.042	5	1,697
0.041	13	1,709
0.040	500	2,209
0.031	129	2,338

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.888	86	86
0.891	40	126
0.892	15	141
0.900	5	146
0.901	20	166
0.917	87	253
0.918	146	399
0.919	1,293	1,692
0.958	5	1,697
0.959	13	1,709
0.960	500	2,209
0.969	129	2,338

Spread0.120Mid0.828

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.768	5	5
0.766	11	16
0.765	64	80
0.764	60	140
0.410	435	575
0.088	6	582
0.087	22	604
0.086	12	616
0.085	35	650
0.084	48	698
0.081	43	741
0.080	5	746

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
LornaPredicts	Yes	815.4
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	243.81
bg3413	Yes	201.7
orin40	Yes	183.61
pabss	Yes	83.74
Numitus1994	Yes	81.36
planktonXD	Yes	63.96
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	61.53
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	60.3
0x8Ed4caBC7B25CCF0461C1A00653F75E104B1a52A-1719971585335	Yes	25.9
steveisdumb20	Yes	20
BSS37	Yes	17
BikesAreTheBikes	Yes	10
0x428480A1dA0dE1A3529cF8699DE209b74de962AC-1782496114117	Yes	8
Bronkoloss	Yes	7.6
0x52de…8527	Yes	7
topherlee	Yes	6.67
0x58e80Dd4a5c365BA380795103f5E0963a287bB5A-1781767424338	Yes	5
WMNB	Yes	5
16r0ob	Yes	4.95

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
23:37:54	BUY	Yes	0.183	20	$3.66
23:37:52	BUY	Yes	0.154	40	$6.18
23:34:40	BUY	Yes	0.15	20	$3.02
07:05:59	BUY	Yes	0.125	20	$2.51
00:19:26	BUY	Yes	0.121	20	$2.43
00:40:30	SELL	No	0.901	20	$18.02
00:39:57	BUY	Yes	0.098	20	$1.96
21:35:35	BUY	Yes	0.098	20	$1.96
21:35:33	BUY	Yes	0.082	20	$1.64
14:08:21	SELL	No	0.9022884969	54	$49.10
08:00:03	SELL	Yes	0.081	1	$0.10
23:07:41	SELL	No	0.902	14	$12.81
23:07:21	BUY	Yes	0.0879999966	14	$1.25
07:40:02	SELL	Yes	0.081	20	$1.62
07:39:57	SELL	Yes	0.081	20	$1.62
07:39:44	SELL	Yes	0.0870437178	111	$9.64
20:36:47	SELL	No	0.871	14	$12.12
20:36:48	SELL	No	0.9	8	$7.22
20:36:45	BUY	Yes	0.0989999999	35	$3.46
15:50:08	BUY	No	0.9186288656	54	$50.00
06:48:59	BUY	Yes	0.1359999955	20	$2.68
20:40:17	SELL	No	0.826	7	$5.96
15:46:32	SELL	Yes	0.082672043	60	$4.92
13:59:22	SELL	Yes	0.0827326867	929	$76.85
12:28:33	SELL	No	0.341	3	$1.01