PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

steveisdumb20

0xbd58d33e6e675c52bac4912de1c4c8d7bc18879a

Realised P&L
$-389.85
Volume
$35.0k
Markets traded
730
Open portfolio
$73.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded730
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lucid announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.6840.956$47.77+$13.57
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3590.344$6.88$0.30
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.4200.225$6.75$5.85
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 · Yes0.2200.235$4.70+$0.30
Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.4500.085$4.25$18.25
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes0.1400.105$3.15$1.05
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$6.00
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$4.00
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Execration (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group B · Execration0.1700.000$0.00$0.86
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$0.30
Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche · Dusan Lajovic0.9500.000$0.00$60.80
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets · New York Mets0.9500.000$0.00$95.00
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$4.50
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$4.50
BNB Up or Down - July 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET · Down0.9700.000$0.00$4.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-16 20:39Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETBUY0.98$4.90
07-16 20:14Ethereum Up or Down - July 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETBUY0.97$4.85
07-16 20:14Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETBUY0.9099999921$4.60
07-16 20:04Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETBUY0.91$4.55
07-16 19:59Solana Up or Down - July 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.91$4.55
07-16 19:59Rome: Teodora Kostovic vs Lucia BronzettiBUY0.98$36.26
07-16 19:01Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Sebastian BaezBUY0.97$46.56
07-16 18:59Dogecoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.69$4.83
07-16 18:59XRP Up or Down - July 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.98$4.90
07-16 18:59Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.98$4.90
07-16 18:54Dogecoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETBUY0.69$4.83
07-16 18:54XRP Up or Down - July 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETBUY0.9$4.50
07-16 18:54Ethereum Up or Down - July 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETBUY0.98$4.90
07-16 18:48Granby: Blaise Bicknell vs Murphy CassoneBUY0.97$46.56
07-16 18:34Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETBUY0.97$4.85