0x428480A1dA0dE1A3529cF8699DE209b74de962AC-1782496114117
0x428480a1da0de1a3529cf8699de209b74de962ac
- Realised P&L
- $-71.59
- Volume
- $326.86
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $4.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-21.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.153 | $1.38 | +$0.39 |
| Will Neutrl launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.315 | $1.35 | +$0.49 |
| Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.104 | $0.94 | −$0.05 |
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? · No | 0.100 | 0.117 | $0.70 | +$0.10 |
| Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.125 | $0.32 | −$0.29 |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance · United States | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? · No | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.20 |
| Norway vs. England: Team to Advance · Norway | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.00 |
| Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) · Chicago Cubs | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.60 |
| Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.60 |
| ITF Elvas: Veronika Podrez vs Matilde Jorge · Veronika Podrez | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.08at 0.811Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 00:43 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.35 | $28.00 |
| 07-05 16:02 | United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 07-03 21:00 | ITF Elvas: Veronika Podrez vs Matilde Jorge | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 07-03 19:57 | President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | BUY | 0.07 | $4.20 |
| 06-26 23:07 | Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 06-26 18:28 | Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.92 |