0x8Ed4caBC7B25CCF0461C1A00653F75E104B1a52A-1719971585335
0x8ed4cabc7b25ccf0461c1a00653f75e104b1a52a
- Realised P&L
- $346.73
- Volume
- $170.4k
- Markets traded
- 147
- Open portfolio
- $19.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded147
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$887.02at 0.179Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?
- +$698.40at 0.220Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
- +$308.90at 0.382Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
- +$278.26at 0.478Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
- +$237.35at 0.200Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-05 20:56 | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | BUY | 0.003 | $30.00 |
| 12-05 01:50 | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | BUY | 0.004 | $160.00 |
| 12-04 13:21 | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | BUY | 0.006 | $10.03 |
| 12-04 13:10 | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | BUY | 0.006 | $50.41 |
| 11-02 16:44 | Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 | BUY | 0.1699999978 | $54.00 |
| 11-02 16:43 | Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.062 | $124.00 |
| 10-28 02:35 | Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October? | SELL | 0.6 | $7.50 |
| 10-28 01:14 | Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October? | SELL | 0.62 | $1.74 |
| 10-28 01:04 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025? | SELL | 0.589 | $28.14 |
| 10-28 00:59 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025? | SELL | 0.613 | $0.95 |
| 10-28 00:57 | Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31? | SELL | 0.91 | $36.08 |
| 10-28 00:56 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025? | SELL | 0.622 | $0.42 |
| 10-28 00:54 | Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31? | SELL | 0.87 | $85.04 |
| 10-28 00:54 | Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? | SELL | 0.76 | $152.00 |
| 10-27 17:46 | Will PayPal Holdings (PYPL) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.169677 | $67.87 |