PolyBot

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Traders

16r0ob

0x0b3492ec87748d0f32427e8be4cbc650ff67ffc3

Realised P&L
$1.8k
Volume
$5.14M
Markets traded
8,278
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded8,278
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration52.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam? · Yes0.3261.000$31.60+$21.30
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft? · No0.8301.000$24.09+$4.10
Will Su Zhu appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? · Yes0.3330.430$16.74+$3.78
Will Guy Young appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? · Yes0.0530.367$13.98+$11.96
Sabres vs. Devils: O/U 6.5 · Under0.5301.000$13.00+$6.11
Will Jesse Pollak appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? · Yes0.4180.428$11.99+$0.29
Will the NYSE choose a multichain setup? · Yes0.1820.440$11.17+$6.54
Will GCR appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? · Yes0.0350.452$9.66+$8.92
Will Trump say "Congo" during the State of the Union address? · Yes0.3641.000$9.40+$5.98
Will Catherine O'Hara win Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards? · Yes0.5781.000$8.11+$3.42
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year? · No0.7281.000$7.64+$2.08
EU debt downgrade before 2027? · Yes0.1400.280$7.41+$3.71
Over $180B wagered on US sports betting in 2026? · No0.1140.505$6.97+$5.40
Will the NYSE choose Solana? · Yes0.1500.295$6.26+$3.08
Sabres vs. Devils: O/U 4.5 · Under0.2201.000$6.26+$4.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-16 02:18Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.184$3.99
08-15 18:14Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?SELL0.092$0.58
08-15 13:25Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%?SELL0.22$2.00
08-15 13:14Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.001$0.33
08-15 11:42Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?SELL0.08$0.74
08-15 07:44Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?SELL0.34$3.18
08-14 15:15Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.017$0.09
08-14 15:11Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.017$0.10
08-14 15:08Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.017$0.12
08-14 15:05Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.017$0.14
08-14 15:01Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.017$0.19
08-14 14:54Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.017$0.23
08-14 14:50Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?SELL0.75$4.67
08-14 14:41Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.017$0.24
08-14 14:37Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.017$0.09