Bronkoloss
0x81b28b1085a8a73f60d0adc67418dd4c7a0b2e06
- Realised P&L
- $-97.54
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $3.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.41at 0.475Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
- +$6.99at 0.293Solana Up or Down - February 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
- +$5.04at 0.487Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
- +$5.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
- +$5.00at 0.500XRP Up or Down - February 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 00:01 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 23:52 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 06-14 18:19 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 06-14 11:36 | Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2629999286 | $2.00 |
| 06-14 11:35 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 06-14 11:33 | Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 06-14 11:33 | Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.1145978477 | $10.00 |
| 06-14 11:32 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700b and $720b on June 30? | BUY | 0.0048764807 | $1.00 |
| 06-14 11:32 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $740b and $760b on June 30? | BUY | 0.0058045043 | $1.00 |
| 06-14 11:32 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $720b and $740b on June 30? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 06-14 11:32 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $760b and $780b on June 30? | BUY | 0.0047244047 | $1.00 |
| 06-14 11:32 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $780b and $800b on June 30? | BUY | 0.0081044494 | $1.00 |
| 06-14 11:31 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? | BUY | 0.0746268657 | $2.00 |
| 06-14 11:31 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30? | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |
| 06-14 11:30 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |