0x52de5957ed6e83aec078bed37afb0441acb88527
0x52de5957ed6e83aec078bed37afb0441acb88527
- Realised P&L
- $-607.16
- Volume
- $21.4k
- Markets traded
- 509
- Open portfolio
- $27.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded509
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? · No | 0.510 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$2.45 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.760 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$1.20 |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? · No | 0.590 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$2.05 |
| Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.965 | $4.82 | +$1.02 |
| Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027? · No | 0.740 | 0.962 | $4.81 | +$1.11 |
| Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.430 | $3.01 | +$2.03 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.003 | $0.06 | −$0.99 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.079 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.11 |
| Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.08 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.40 |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? · Yes | 0.926 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.05at 0.762Open Sud de France, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Martin Damm
- +$45.50at 0.444Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 25?
- +$41.95at 0.354Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 19-25?
- +$24.98at 0.500Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 25?
- +$23.91at 0.725Blackhawks vs. Wild
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-25 11:13 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.038 | $1.06 |
| 02-25 11:13 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.037 | $1.04 |
| 02-25 11:12 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.037 | $1.04 |
| 02-25 11:12 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.037 | $1.04 |
| 02-25 11:12 | Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the round of 16? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.08 |
| 02-25 11:12 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.037 | $1.04 |
| 02-25 06:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $0.99 |
| 02-24 22:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $2.62 |
| 02-24 21:55 | Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer? | SELL | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 02-24 21:55 | Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer? | BUY | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 02-24 17:06 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 02-24 14:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $0.99 |
| 02-24 13:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8AM ET | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 02-24 11:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.60598 | $2.94 |
| 02-23 23:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.42 |