PolyBot

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Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.036. up 0.001 over the period, from 0.035. Range 0.030 to 0.038. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0392,3532,353
0.0402,1554,508
0.0411,5006,008
0.0421006,108
0.0467106,818
0.0498217,638
0.0502,3019,939
0.0577810,017
0.0582110,038
0.05971310,751
0.06020010,951
0.0675811,009

Spread0.005Mid0.037

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.034227227
0.03272299
0.031304603
0.0304521,055
0.0292001,255
0.0271,3202,575
0.0267003,275
0.0252103,485
0.0248904,375
0.0231,5625,937
0.022505,987
0.0215006,487

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.966227227
0.96872299
0.969304603
0.9704521,055
0.9712001,255
0.9731,3202,575
0.9747003,275
0.9752103,485
0.9768904,375
0.9771,5625,937
0.978505,987
0.9795006,487

Spread0.005Mid0.964

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9612,3532,353
0.9602,1554,508
0.9591,5006,008
0.9581006,108
0.9547106,818
0.9518217,638
0.9502,3019,939
0.9437810,017
0.9422110,038
0.94171310,751
0.94020010,951
0.9335811,009

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
srmiiieYes11,245.97
SpyVsSpyYes1,840.53
InvestnowYes1,729.96
paula0xaYes1,542.84
GaussloisYes1,307.97
tiger12Yes1,100
igncYes500
PineseekerYes222.22
BabyGrootYes210
thecaricatureYes150
LornaPredictsYes130
0xc9a90290332fa3ea9885f1e2ce466e6baf0c293Yes130
crudeoilenthusiastYes111.11
0xbEFFB2418B31ad29527eF79Ae8f4bC6E118508E4-1773345861012Yes111.11
Numitus1994Yes100.93
lissartterYes100
BSS37Yes100
hitunfarYes78.53
RooglishYes75
mrmullerYes50.01

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
19:01:31BUYNo0.96628$26.94
16:44:22SELLNo0.9610$0.01
16:11:45SELLNo0.96159$56.76
13:07:25SELLNo0.96150$48.05
13:07:22SELLNo0.9614$3.84
13:07:15SELLNo0.963876923165$62.65
13:07:10SELLNo0.964100$96.40
13:07:06SELLNo0.96450$48.20
13:06:19SELLNo0.96450$48.20
13:03:13SELLNo0.96450$48.20
13:01:51SELLNo0.967150$145.05
13:01:46SELLNo0.968100$96.80
13:01:46SELLNo0.968298$288.36
13:01:42SELLNo0.96810119671,071$1037.11
20:29:52SELLYes0.03150$1.55
04:26:51BUYNo0.96810$9.68
13:44:21SELLNo0.9660$0.01
09:19:09SELLYes0.03240$1.28
22:26:22SELLYes0.0339007136144$4.89
19:32:24SELLYes0.037150$5.55
20:36:22BUYYes0.038999999526$1.00
15:20:12BUYYes0.03850$1.90
08:49:28BUYYes0.038999999551$2.00
20:48:19SELLYes0.04278$11.14
20:48:19BUYNo0.9744$43.00