0xc9a90290332fa3ea9885f1e2ce466e6baf0c293
0xb8a90290332fa3ea9885f1e2ce479e6baf0c2948
- Realised P&L
- $20.3k
- Volume
- $1.99M
- Markets traded
- 1,597
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,597
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.0kat 0.105Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $56-64m on 3-day opening weekend?
- +$2.2kat 0.001Will "28 Years Later" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $34m?
- +$1.5kat 0.045Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$1.5kat 0.014Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $64-72m on 3-day opening weekend?
- +$1.5kat 0.514Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $78m and $85m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 20:50 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $14.00 |
| 09-06 19:04 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.60 |
| 09-06 19:03 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.012 | $2.40 |
| 09-06 18:23 | Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.18 | $7.12 |
| 09-04 00:27 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $16.50 |
| 08-22 08:47 | Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 08-15 20:22 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.169 | $13.52 |
| 08-13 04:52 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31? | BUY | 0.3519230769 | $9.15 |
| 08-03 17:33 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? | BUY | 0.1403009572 | $33.86 |
| 08-02 00:40 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 08-01 17:54 | Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 510m and 530m by August 31? | SELL | 0.0811458151 | $11.13 |
| 08-01 02:34 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.2897619048 | $24.34 |
| 08-01 02:11 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.27 | $168.13 |
| 07-31 19:27 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | SELL | 0.8226505562 | $42.89 |
| 07-30 00:26 | Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 300m and 350m by August 31? | SELL | 0.0030828541 | $1.90 |