0xbEFFB2418B31ad29527eF79Ae8f4bC6E118508E4-1773345861012
0xbeffb2418b31ad29527ef79ae8f4bc6e118508e4
- Realised P&L
- $-292.68
- Volume
- $56.0k
- Markets traded
- 758
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded758
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$386.31at 0.739US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$82.41at 0.748Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 28?
- +$82.17at 0.747Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on April 26?
- +$81.71at 0.747Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C or higher on April 26?
- +$81.15at 0.751Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C or higher on April 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 18:31 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $5.36 |
| 09-08 15:59 | European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $3.75 |
| 08-18 17:34 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.759999998 | $30.00 |
| 08-18 17:34 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.5499999972 | $30.00 |
| 08-09 18:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | SELL | 0.93 | $1.79 |
| 08-09 18:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 18:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | SELL | 0.96 | $1.84 |
| 08-09 18:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 18:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | SELL | 0.96 | $1.88 |
| 08-09 18:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 18:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $1.92 |
| 08-09 18:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 18:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | SELL | 0.1 | $0.91 |
| 08-09 18:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 18:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | SELL | 0.02 | $0.67 |