PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xbEFFB2418B31ad29527eF79Ae8f4bC6E118508E4-1773345861012

0xbeffb2418b31ad29527ef79ae8f4bc6e118508e4

Realised P&L
$-292.68
Volume
$56.0k
Markets traded
758
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded758
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5270.595$1.3k+$143.03
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8000.895$664.94+$70.58
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? · No0.3780.245$9.72$5.28
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.035$5.75$4.25
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1400.080$5.71$4.29
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? · Yes0.0760.071$5.63$0.37
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1000.055$5.50$4.50
Russia coup attempt in 2026? · Yes0.1000.055$5.50$4.50
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.0900.042$4.67$5.33
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes0.1200.055$4.58$5.42
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0650.053$4.10$0.90
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? · Yes0.0900.036$4.06$5.94
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1900.055$2.89$7.11
Will BMO fail by end of 2026? · Yes0.0820.024$2.88$7.12
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.045$2.81$7.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 18:31Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?SELL0.05$5.36
09-08 15:59European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?SELL0.09$3.75
08-18 17:34Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.759999998$30.00
08-18 17:34Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.5499999972$30.00
08-09 18:57Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETSELL0.93$1.79
08-09 18:55Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.52$1.00
08-09 18:54Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETSELL0.96$1.84
08-09 18:49Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETBUY0.52$1.00
08-09 18:48Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETSELL0.96$1.88
08-09 18:45Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETBUY0.5099998317$1.00
08-09 18:44Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETSELL0.98$1.92
08-09 18:40Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.5099998317$1.00
08-09 18:33Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETSELL0.1$0.91
08-09 18:32Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETBUY0.1099999032$1.00
08-09 18:29Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETSELL0.02$0.67