PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

paula0xa

0xed8650e311b2b4754a6a0feb9147ff3dcfc76ee1

Realised P&L
$-2.4k
Volume
$95.9k
Markets traded
80
Open portfolio
$4.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded80
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? · Yes0.1200.175$1.2k+$388.01
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.3900.230$353.85$246.15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.1300.435$334.62+$234.62
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? · No0.6101.000$300.00+$117.00
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes0.0900.265$294.14+$194.14
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.3030.882$291.24+$191.24
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1210.041$234.28$465.71
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1870.077$228.18$321.81
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? · Yes0.0650.075$115.71+$15.71
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2190.125$113.98$86.02
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.3000.115$95.83$154.17
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March? · Yes0.4871.000$67.72+$34.72
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? · Yes0.1220.055$47.16$57.84
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.3000.885$44.25+$29.25
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2540.095$43.02$71.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-21 21:14Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?BUY0.164995143$30.00
07-21 21:14Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?BUY0.0648157144$100.00
07-21 21:13Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?BUY0.120152942$850.00
07-11 02:28Will "The Odyssey" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.0136366116$2.00
07-11 02:28Will "The Odyssey" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.0612115292$30.00
07-11 02:28Will "The Odyssey" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.6408115237$500.00
06-27 05:44Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2193428481$200.00
06-27 05:44Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.1299999989$100.00
05-26 05:23Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?BUY0.14$14.00
05-26 05:21US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.32$224.00
05-26 05:20US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.32$192.00
05-26 05:20US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY0.61$183.00
05-26 05:20US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.44$220.00
05-26 05:17US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.5198547963$286.41
05-04 10:15Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.063$12.60