PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

tiger12

0x0979561e431477db7ec104a5d71fa4abcb39bae6

Realised P&L
$-262.27
Volume
$8.7k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$74.85

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? · Yes0.0800.033$35.75−$52.25
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? · Yes0.0900.034$33.24−$54.75
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.0560.006$5.86−$49.14
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31? · No0.0400.000$0.00−$79.00
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Sweden? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.05T by July 31? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$57.00
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Sweden? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? · No0.1100.000$0.00−$108.52
Will Squid launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.1470.000$0.00−$53.40
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.0T by July 31? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$57.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-11 20:28Will Squid launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1468323801$53.40
07-11 20:23Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.05T by July 31?BUY0.1699999979$57.00
07-11 20:23Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.0T by July 31?BUY0.0370882276$57.00
06-30 20:05Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Sweden?BUY0.0899999845$5.00
06-30 20:05Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Sweden?BUY0.1199999808$5.00
06-30 20:04Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Sweden?BUY0.1$5.00
06-30 20:04Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Sweden?BUY0.1$10.00
06-30 20:04Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Sweden?BUY0.1199999899$10.00
06-30 20:04Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Sweden?BUY0.0899999919$10.00
06-30 16:38Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.0563316025$55.00
06-30 13:53Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?BUY0.11$108.52
06-30 13:53Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?BUY0.08$88.00
06-30 13:52Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?BUY0.0899999991$88.00