tiger12
0x0979561e431477db7ec104a5d71fa4abcb39bae6
- Realised P&L
- $-226.89
- Volume
- $8.7k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $253.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No | 0.056 | 0.181 | $177.21 | +$122.21 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.036 | $40.15 | −$47.85 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.037 | $36.18 | −$51.82 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31? · No | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$79.00 |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Sweden? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.05T by July 31? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$57.00 |
| Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Sweden? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? · No | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$108.52 |
| Will Squid launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.147 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$53.40 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.0T by July 31? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$57.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$134.59at 0.103Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Sweden?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 20:28 | Will Squid launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1468323801 | $53.40 |
| 07-11 20:23 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.05T by July 31? | BUY | 0.1699999979 | $57.00 |
| 07-11 20:23 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.0T by July 31? | BUY | 0.0370882276 | $57.00 |
| 06-30 20:05 | Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Sweden? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 06-30 20:05 | Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Sweden? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 06-30 20:04 | Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Sweden? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 06-30 20:04 | Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Sweden? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 06-30 20:04 | Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Sweden? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 06-30 20:04 | Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Sweden? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 06-30 16:38 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0563316025 | $55.00 |
| 06-30 13:53 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $108.52 |
| 06-30 13:53 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $88.00 |
| 06-30 13:52 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | BUY | 0.0899999991 | $88.00 |