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Traders

srmiiie

0xbca5c23f6e002b22f5ba505a2597ef972d278727

Realised P&L
$-55.7k
Volume
$1.52M
Markets traded
189
Open portfolio
$5.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded189
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1920.085$1.6k−$2.0k
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1130.055$683.65−$717.06
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes0.1500.105$593.88−$254.51
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2700.085$566.52−$1.2k
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0950.040$530.30−$733.28
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.075$508.27+$33.88
Will Solana dip to $80 in October? · Yes0.0580.071$436.15+$84.35
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1280.031$350.33−$1.1k
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? · Yes0.0660.031$348.63−$393.67
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? · Yes0.0740.026$119.10−$218.82
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? · Yes0.0700.027$102.28−$162.89
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? · Yes0.0940.025$76.93−$205.92
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? · Yes0.0320.025$25.72−$6.38
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0270.011$2.14−$3.36
Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $1.50 on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0410.059$1.18+$0.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 06:15Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 23?BUY0.0410095465$34.37
09-20 18:57Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?BUY0.026$0.75
09-20 18:57Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?BUY0.009$70.99
09-19 15:26Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 14-20?BUY0.013$71.50
09-18 15:42Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 22?BUY0.04$2.28
09-18 15:32Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 22?BUY0.0119296844$91.11
09-18 14:28Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?SELL0.622$6.18
09-16 08:47Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in September?BUY0.35$70.00
09-10 23:13Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?BUY0.18$39.29
09-10 20:47Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.15$396.11
09-09 23:38Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?BUY0.346$29.78
09-09 23:37Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?BUY0.064886624$39.60
09-09 23:35Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?BUY0.104$1.83
09-09 23:34Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?BUY0.12$366.00
09-09 21:22Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 7-13?BUY0.049$24.50
Trader srmiiie · PolyBot Pro