srmiiie
0xbca5c23f6e002b22f5ba505a2597ef972d278727
- Realised P&L
- $-55.7k
- Volume
- $1.52M
- Markets traded
- 189
- Open portfolio
- $5.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded189
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.3kat 0.046Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 January 26-1?
- +$5.3kat 0.043Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 2-8?
- +$4.1kat 0.013Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 January 26-1?
- +$2.2kat 0.090Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 February 2-8?
- +$2.0kat 0.080Will Solana dip to $70 February 2-8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 06:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.0410095465 | $34.37 |
| 09-20 18:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September? | BUY | 0.026 | $0.75 |
| 09-20 18:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September? | BUY | 0.009 | $70.99 |
| 09-19 15:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.013 | $71.50 |
| 09-18 15:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.04 | $2.28 |
| 09-18 15:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.0119296844 | $91.11 |
| 09-18 14:28 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | SELL | 0.622 | $6.18 |
| 09-16 08:47 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in September? | BUY | 0.35 | $70.00 |
| 09-10 23:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September? | BUY | 0.18 | $39.29 |
| 09-10 20:47 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $396.11 |
| 09-09 23:38 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | BUY | 0.346 | $29.78 |
| 09-09 23:37 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? | BUY | 0.064886624 | $39.60 |
| 09-09 23:35 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? | BUY | 0.104 | $1.83 |
| 09-09 23:34 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.12 | $366.00 |
| 09-09 21:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.049 | $24.50 |